for Wednesday, 01 April 2015 [9:00 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
SUPER TYPHOON MAYSAK UPDATE NUMBER 004
Issued at: 9:00 PM PhT (13:00 GMT) Wednesday 01 April 2015
Next Update: Thursday Morning, 02 April 2015
Super Typhoon MAYSAK has weakened slightly as it continues to move closer to the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...forecast to cross the eastern border early Thursday morning (April 02).
MAYSAK is now the 3rd most-intense Super Typhoon (at Category 5 strength) ever to form early in the Season (from January to April). The other two Super Typhoons with similar strength in the past were: Super Typhoon Ophelia of January 1958 and Super Typhoon Mitag of March 2002.
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
WINDS
- Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph): Catanduanes - beginning Saturday afternoon (Apr 04).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Apr 01...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: STY Maysak
Location: Off the eastern border of P.A.R. (near 11.5N 136.1E)
About: 310 km northwest of Colonia, Yap...or 120 km east of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 220 kph near the center...Gustiness: 280 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 780 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 130 km from the Center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 20 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 13 kph
Towards: Eastern Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
STY MAYSAK will move on a generally west-northwest track with decreasing speed during the next 24 hours...regaining its previous velocity on the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, MAYSAK shall be entering the PAR early Thursday morning (Apr 02) and will move across the Eastern Part of the Philippine Sea through Friday afternoon.
MAYSAK will continue to gradually lose strength throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 175 kph by Friday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Moves over the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea...weakens slightly and no longer a Super Typhoon...about 915 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM APR 02: 12.5N 133.8E @ 215kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to gradually weaken as it moves towards the Central part of the Philippine Sea, regaining its previous speed...about 620 km east-northeast of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon [2PM APR 03: 14.1N 129.6E @ 175kph].
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Bends slightly west towards the Western part of the Philippine Sea...weakens further...about 185 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM APR 04: 14.8N 125.4E @ 160kph].
*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.
Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Apr 01, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 11.5º N Lat 136.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 1135 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 1165 km E of Borongan City
Distance 3: 1310 km ESE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 1325 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Distance 5: 1420 km ESE of Metro Naga
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:CURRENT STORMTRACK:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on STY MAYSAK...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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