Monday, April 06, 2015

Ex-TD MAYSAK (CHEDENG) Final Update

 



for Monday, 06 April 2015 [8:19 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

EX-TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAYSAK [CHEDENG] UPDATE NUMBER 020 [FINAL]
Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Monday 06 April 2015

MAYSAK (CHEDENG) weakened into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) as it moved swiftly over the West Philippine Sea...now outside of the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR). This system will continue to dissipate within the next 12 hours.

*Unless regeneration occurs, this is the final update on Maysak (Chedeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Apr 06...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: LPA [formerly Maysak (Chedeng)]
Location: Over the Northnwestern part of the South China Sea (near 18.5N 120.4E)
About: 380 km east-southeast of Hong Kong, China...or 430 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 100 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Northwest @ 32 kph
Forecast Movement: N/A
Towards: South China Sea

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Apr 06, 2015
Location of Center: Near 20.5º N Lat 117.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 310 km SSE of Shantou City, China
Distance 2: 385 km ESE of Macao, China
Distance 3: 460 km W of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 360 km SW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
Distance 5: 425 km NW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
STORMTRACK:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150405235816.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150405235929.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on Ex-TD MAYSAK (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

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Posted by MJ Klein at 08:21 0 comments

TD MAYSAK (CHEDENG) Update #019

 



for Sunday, 05 April 2015 [8:00 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAYSAK (CHEDENG) UPDATE NUMBER 019
Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Sunday 05 April 2015
Next Update: Monday Morning, 06 April 2015

Tropical Depression MAYSAK (CHEDENG) has weakened further after crossing the northern part of Northern Luzon...emerges over the west coast of Ilocos Norte. Its rainbands will continue to dump moderate to heavy rains with thunderstorms across the area. Maysak (Chedeng) will therefore weaken into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) within the next 12 to 24 hours.

Residents and visitors along Northern and Central Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak (Chedeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northern Aurora, Quirino and Isabela - today through Monday morning (Apr 06).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Quezon incl. Polilio Is., Southern Aurora and Southern Cagayan - today through Monday morning (Apr 06).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Apr 05...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TD Maysak (Chedeng)
Location: Over the West Coast of Ilocos Norte (near 18.5N 120.4E)
About: 45 km west of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte...or 40 km north-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 30 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Northwest @ 33 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 16 kph
Towards: West Philippine Sea/South China Sea


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will continue to move northwestward throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will move across the West Philippine Sea tonight and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (P.A.R.) through the northwestern border. It will be over the northwestern part of the South China Sea.

MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will maintain its weakening trend throughout the forecast period...dissipating into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) later tonight or tomorrow. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph on Monday, April 6.

The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Over the South China Sea, west of the northwestern border of P.A.R....dissipates into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA)...about 425 km southeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM APR 06: 20.4N 117.8E @ 35kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Apr 05, 2015
Location of Center: Near 18.5º N Lat 120.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 100 km N of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 2: 125 km W of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 145 km WSW of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 4: 170 km NW of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 455 km S of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
STORMTRACK:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150405121728.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150405121903.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD MAYSAK (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

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Posted by MJ Klein at 08:17 0 comments

Sunday, April 05, 2015

TS MAYSAK (CHEDENG) Update #017

 



for Sunday, 05 April 2015 [9:25 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM MAYSAK (CHEDENG) UPDATE NUMBER 017
Issued at: 7:15 AM PhT (23:15 GMT) Sunday 05 April 2015
Next Update: Sunday Afternoon, 05 April 2015

Tropical Storm MAYSAK (CHEDENG) continues to lose strength as it nears Northern Luzon...remains a threat to the area. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Aurora or Isabela this morning (Apr 05)...with a Strike Probability of 70 to 90 percent.

Residents and visitors along Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak (Chedeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northern Aurora, Quirino and Isabela - today through Monday morning (Apr 06).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Quezon incl. Polilio Is., Southern Aurora and Southern Cagayan - today through Monday morning (Apr 06).
WINDS
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph): Northern Aurora and Eastern Isabela - today.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Apr 05...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Maysak (Chedeng)
Location: Over the western part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.9N 123.1E)
About: 200 km north of Daet, Camarines Norte...or 110 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 30 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 14 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 28 kph
Towards: Northern Luzon


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will be moving west-northwest to northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, MAYSAK (CHEDENG) shall make landfall along the shores near the Aurora-Isabela border this morning and shall be traversing Northern Luzon crossing Southern Isabela, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Kalinga, Abra and Ilocos Sur through the afternoon...and emerging over the coast of Ilocos Sur or West Philippine Sea. By Monday early morning (April 6), Maysak shall be exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (P.A.R.) through the northwestern border on its way to South China Sea.

MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will maintain its weakening trend throughout the forecast period especially when it enters the land mass of Northern Luzon...Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Monday early morning, April 6.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the West Philippine Sea, nearing the northwestern border of P.A.R....weakens into a Tropical Depression (TD)...about 235 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [5AM APR 06: 18.9N 118.5E @ 55kph].
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the northernmost part of the South China Sea...dissipating into an area of Low Pressure...about 270 km east-southeast of Hong Kong, China [5AM APR 07: 21.0N 116.4E @ 35kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Apr 05, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.9º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 245 km NNW of Caramoan, Camarines Sur
Distance 2: 280 km NNW of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 145 km SE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 4: 255 km N of Metro Naga, Camarines Sur
Distance 5: 160 km ENE of Baler, Aurora

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
STORMTRACK:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150404231529.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150404231627.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS MAYSAK (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

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Posted by MJ Klein at 09:27 0 comments

TS MAYSAK (CHEDENG) Update #016

 



for Sunday, 05 April 2015 [3:38 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM MAYSAK (CHEDENG) UPDATE NUMBER 016
Issued at: 1:30 AM PhT (17:30 GMT) Sunday 05 April 2015
Next Update: Sunday Morning, 05 April 2015

Tropical Storm MAYSAK (CHEDENG) continues losing strength as its main circulation becomes disorganized...remains a threat to Northern Luzon. Its Rainbands continues to dump rains across most parts of the Bicol Region. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Aurora or Isabela by Sunday early morning (Apr 05)...with a Strike Probability of 70 to 90 percent.

Residents and visitors along Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak (Chedeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northern Aurora, Quirino and Isabela - beginning early Sunday morning (Apr 05) through Monday morning (Apr 06).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Bicol, Southern portion of Southern Quezon, Northern Quezon incl. Polillo Islands, Southern Aurora and Southern Cagayan - today through Monday morning (Apr 06).
WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Isabela, Northern Aurora and Quirino - beginning Saturday late evening (Apr 04) through Sunday morning (Apr 05).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph): Northern Catanduanes - today (Apr 04). Southern Cagayan, Southern Aurora, Nueva Vizcaya, and Southern Cagayan - beginning Saturday late evening (Apr 04) through Sunday morning (Apr 05).

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 0.5-1.5 m (1.5-5 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Northern Bicol - tonight...and across Northern Quezon, Aurora and Isabela - tonight through Sunday morning (Apr 05). Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of the Rest of Northern and Central Luzon, Visayas and the Rest of Bicol Region. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, Apr 04...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Maysak (Chedeng)
Location: Over the western part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.6N 123.8E)
About: 195 km north-northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte...or 195 km southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center...Gustiness: 120 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 30 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 70 km North from the Center and 40 km South from the Center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 16 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 25 kph
Towards: Western Part of the Philippine Sea and Northern Luzon


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will continue moving west-northwest to northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, MAYSAK (CHEDENG) shall be moving across the Western Part of the Philippine Sea through Sunday early morning...and shall make landfall along the shores near the Aurora-Isabela border sometime before sunrise. It shall then traverse Northern Luzon crossing Southern Isabela, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Kalinga and Abra on Sunday morning...and shall emerge over the coast of Ilocos Sur or West Philippine Sea in the afternoon and evening (April 5). By Monday evening (April 6), Maysak shall already be out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (P.A.R.) or over the South China Sea.

MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will maintain its weakening trend throughout the forecast period especially when it enters the land mass of Northern Luzon...Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Sunday evening, April 6.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY EVENING: Over the west coast of Ilocos Sur, after crossing Northern Luzon...weakens into a Tropical Depression (TD)...about 105 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [8PM APR 05: 18.2N 119.6E @ 55kph].
MONDAY EVENING: Exits P.A.R. through the northwestern border...dissipating into an area of Low Pressure over the South China Sea...about 435 km southeast of Hong Kong, China [8PM APR 06: 19.8N 117.5E @ 35kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sat Apr 04, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.6º N Lat 123.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km N of Caramoan, Camarines Sur
Distance 2: 225 km NNW of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 170 km NNW of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 230 km NNE of Metro Naga, Camarines Sur
Distance 5: 235 km ESE of Baler, Aurora

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
STORMTRACK:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150404174439.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:


http://weather.com.ph/images/20150404174711.GIF
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS MAYSAK (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

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Posted by MJ Klein at 03:41 0 comments

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