Tuesday, November 24, 2009

TS NIDA (26W) - Update #007

 


for Tuesday, 24 November 2009 [12:16 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 23 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS NIDA (27W).


NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph

TROPICAL STORM NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007

12:30 PM PST (04:30 GMT) Tue 24 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #009 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Storm NIDA (26W) continues to strengthen as it drifts westward across the Western Micronesia.

    *Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.

    *Do not use this for life/death decision. Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue November 24 2009
    Location of Center: 8.8º N Lat 145.7º E Lon
    Distance 1: 520 km (280 nm) SSE of Guam, CNMI
    Distance 2: 840 km (453 nm) ESE of Yap, FSM
    Distance 3: 2,130 km (1,150 nm) East of Mindanao, PH
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    100 kph (55 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
    Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
    Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
    Towards: Southern Marianas
    Size (in Diameter): 425 km (230 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public):
    8 AM PST Tue Nov 24

    + Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue moving WNW for the next 12 hours and will intensify further. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system turning NW-ward as it strengthens to a Category 1 Typhoon tomorrow morning (8am Nov 25: 11.2N 142.0E) and will maintain its NW to WNW track throughout the forecast period, entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...reaching Category 3 status on Sunday morning w/ winds of 195 kph (8am Nov 29: 19.2N 134.0E). Based on this forecast, this system is not yet a threat to the Philippine Islands. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not yet affecting any major islands at this time.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links for TS NIDA (27W)

    View NOAA-CIRA's
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
    wp2609.gif
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 24 NOVEMBER: 9.6N 143.7E / 110-140 KPH (TS) / NW @ 22 KPH 
    8 AM (00 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 11.2N 142.0E / 120-150 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / NW @ 19 KPH 
    8 AM (00 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 14.4N 139.2E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / NW @ 13 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.7N 137.5E / 160-195 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NW @ 09 KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) TUE 24 NOVEMBER POSITION: 8.6N 145.6E.

    *TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM
    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
    PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS
    26W HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS
    DEVELOPED A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. A 23/2139Z TRMM 37 GHZ IMAGE
    DEPICTS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING AND A
    FORMATIVE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
    CURRENT POSITION BASED ON THE MICROWAVE EYE SIGNATURE. THE CURRENT
    INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS ASSESSED SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THE
    DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 35-45 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD. THIS IS
    BASED ON THE TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING AND MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE.
    ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ENHANCED
    BY AN UPPER-LOW NEAR 25N 165E...
    (
    more)

    >> NIDA, meaning: Name of womanName contributed by: Thailand.
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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