Sunday, November 22, 2009

TD 26W (UNNAMED) - Update #001

 


for Sunday, 22 November 2009 [12:59 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun November 22 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD 26W (UNNAMED), located SE of Guam.


26W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W [UNNAMED]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 001 [INITIAL]

1:00 PM PST (05:00 GMT) Sun 22 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #001 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • The broad tropical disturbance (LPA) west of Marshall Islands has strengthened into Tropical Depression 26W (UNNAMED)...currently almost stationary as it continues to consolidate.

    *Residents and visitors along Northern & Southern Marianas should closely monitor the progress of 26W (UNNAMED).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    Current Storm Information


    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun November 22 2009
    Location of Center: 7.0º N Lat 148.8º E Lon
    Distance 1: 835 km (450 nm) SSE of Guam, CNMI
    Distance 2: 1,210 km (653 nm) ESE of Yap, FSM
    Distance 3: 2,450 km (1,323 nm) East of Mindanao, PH
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    45 kph (25 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
    Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
    Present Movement: North @ 05 kph (03 kts)
    Towards: Southern Marianas
    Size (in Diameter): ... km (... nm) / N/A
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public):
    8 AM PST Sun Nov 22

    + Forecast Outlook: 26W is expected to move northward for the next 12 hours and intensify. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system attaining Tropical Storm status tomorrow morning [8am Nov 23: 7.3N 148.7E] as it moves NW-ward. 26W will continue to track northwestward across the Western Pacific Ocean, passing about 300 km WSW of Guam on Thursday morning [8am Nov 26: 12.5N 142.2E] as a Category 1 Typhoon w/ forecast winds of 120 kph...and will be about 500 km WNW of Guam on Friday morning [8am Nov 27: 15.0N 140.4E]. Based on this forecast, 26W is not a threat to the Philippines. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: 26W is not yet affecting any major islands at this time.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA)
    remains almost stationary over the Southern Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 7.6N lon 129.1E...or about 390 km ENE of Davao City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center. This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a weak Tropical Cyclone within the next 1-2 days.

    Kindly click the T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links on 26W

    Click to view:
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    8 AM Sun Nov 22
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 22 NOVEMBER: 6.8N 148.9E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / NNW @ 05 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 23 NOVEMBER: 7.3N 148.7E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 07 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 24 NOVEMBER: 8.5N 146.7E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NW @ 13 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 10.2N 144.6E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / NW @ 15 KPH
    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) SUN 22 NOVEMBER POSITION: 6.4N 148.8E.
    *TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W HAS GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATED OVER
    THE PAST 12 HOURS AS EVIDENCED BY ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. THE
    CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION AND
    EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 2112OOZ QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWING 25-KNOT UNFLAGGED
    WINDS SOUTHEAST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER
    LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SOUTHWEST OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN
    AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TD 26W IS EMBEDDED IN THE
    MONSOON TROUGH IN A VERY WEAK STEERING PATTERN..
    (
    more)


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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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    LATEST 6-12 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP): Not Available Yet!!! 


    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD 26W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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