Monday, November 02, 2009

TD 97W (UNNAMED) - Update #002


for Monday, 02 November 2009 [2:54 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 02 2009):

Today, is celebrating its 12th year Anniversary...Thank you for all your support. Meanwhile, T2K is currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD 97W (UNNAMED), which may threaten Northern Luzon.


+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr


12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 02 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Satfix & TCFA/JMA Warning
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression 97W (UNNAMED) has slightly intensified as it slows down over the Philippine Sea. This system is an area of approaching surge of Cold Northeast (NE) Monsoon which may affect and weaken its circulation, and push it SW-ward into Luzon. The approaching monsoon and this TD will bring strong winds w/ passing widespread rains across Northern & Central Luzon including Bicol Region

    *Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of 97W (UNNAMED).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

    + Forecast Outlook: 97W is expected to track WSW to SW-ward within the next 12 to 24 hours and weaken. The 2-day T2K Short-Range forecast shows the system Luzon via Aurora tomorrow and will be over Central Luzon on Wednesday Nov 04 as a dissipating tropical cyclone over land. The surge of cold Northeast Monsoon will bring dry air into its circulation thus the dissipation of 97W. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects: 97W's circulation remains intact but cold dry air from the surge of NE Monsoon from China is likely to kill the system. This system is not yet affecting any parts of the Philippines, however if its forecast track continues, its remnants will bring widespread rains across Northern Luzon tonight and tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon November 02 2009
    Location of Center: 17.3º N Lat 125.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 385 km (208 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
    Distance 2: 360 km (195 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
    Distance 3: 370 km (200 nm) East of Ilagan City, Isabela
    Distance 4: 410 km (220 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
    Distance 5: 470 km (252 nm) NNE of Naga City
    Distance 6: 540 km (292 nm) NE of Metro Manila
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Click to view:
    97W's Latest Wind Analysis new!
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: Quasi-Stationary
    Projected Area of Impact: Central Luzon
    Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
    T2K TrackMap #02 (for Public): 12 PM PST Mon Nov 01
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    6 AM Mon Nov 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

  • T2K  12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 02 NOVEMBER: 17.0N 124.2E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / WSW @ 19 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 03 NOVEMBER: 16.4N 122.7E / 45-65 KPH (TD) / WSW @ 19 KPH 
    8 PM (12 GMT) 03 NOVEMBER: 15.6N 120.8E / 35-55 KPH (LPA) / --- @ -- KPH 

    > 4 AM (20 GMT) 02 NOVEMBER: 16.4N 128.6E / SHALLOW LPA

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 




    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 


    > Image source: (

    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:


    For the complete details on TD 97W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:


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