for Saturday, 28 November 2009 [7:09 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #026 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extreme Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) still nearly stationary...weakened slightly to 270 km/hr (Category 5).
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.1º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 665 km (360 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift slowly northeastward and will start weakening within the next 2 days. It will pass due south of Iwo To Monday afternoon (2PM Nov 30: 22.0N 141.6E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm upon entering the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate slightly ENE-ward on Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 23.5N 143.5E)...about 265 km SE of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to move ENE across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Wednesday afternoon (2PM Dec 02: 25.7N 148.9E). Based on this forecast, this system will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). However, constant watch on this system will continue as half of the forecast guidance models still shows a track towards the Philippine Sea. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8AM today (Nov 28), still predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West or WSW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon (aka. locally as "Amihan") from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is likely if the trend continues. Stay tuned for more info. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA still over open seas and remains a large and dangerous super typhoon. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 19.7N 139.5E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NE @ 07 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.4N 139.9E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 22.0N 141.6E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 11 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #026 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.1º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 665 km (360 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift slowly northeastward and will start weakening within the next 2 days. It will pass due south of Iwo To Monday afternoon (2PM Nov 30: 22.0N 141.6E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm upon entering the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate slightly ENE-ward on Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 23.5N 143.5E)...about 265 km SE of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to move ENE across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Wednesday afternoon (2PM Dec 02: 25.7N 148.9E). Based on this forecast, this system will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). However, constant watch on this system will continue as half of the forecast guidance models still shows a track towards the Philippine Sea. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8AM today (Nov 28), still predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West or WSW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon (aka. locally as "Amihan") from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is likely if the trend continues. Stay tuned for more info. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA still over open seas and remains a large and dangerous super typhoon. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 19.7N 139.5E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NE @ 07 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.4N 139.9E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 22.0N 141.6E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 DECEMBER: 23.5N 143.5E / 95-120 KPH (TS) / ENE @ 24 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) SAT 28 NOVEMBER POSITION: 19.1N 139.3E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS THAT STY 26W HAS BEEN ALMOST STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 9 HOURS,
WITH A NOTICEABLE WOBBLE OBSERVED IN THE MSI. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS
IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH JGSM, ECMWF, UKMO AND GFS SHOWING A WESTWARD
TRACK. WBAR, TC-LAPS, GFDN AND NGPS MAINTAIN A RE-CURVE FORECAST.
NGPS HAS PERSISTED WITH EXCESSIVE TRACK SPEEDS AND ERRONEOUS INTEN-
SITY VALUES OUT TO 120 HOURS. THE FORECAST REASONING HAS NOT SHIFTED
FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, KEEPING THE CURRENT TRACK SPEEDS SLOW
THROUGH 48 HOURS, INCREASING SPEED BEYOND 48 HOURS AS STY 26W MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE MID-LEVEL SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THE STR IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SLOWLY WESTWARD
TO PROVIDE THE STEERING SUPPORT IN THE LATER TAUS. A 280426Z AMSR-E
IMAGE SHOWS THAT THE INNER EYEWALL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHILE THE
SECONDARY EYEWALL IS BEGINNING TO CONSTRICT INWARD. DVORAK ESTIMATES
FROM PGTW AND RJTD REFLECT A SLIGHT DECREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS, BRING THE CURRENT INTENSITY TO 145 KNOTS. THE FORECAST
REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH A SLOW WEAKENING TREND AS STY 26W MOVES INTO
A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
DECREASING OCEAN HEAT CONTENT/SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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