Sunday, June 21, 2009

Typhoon LINFA (03W) - Update #009




for Saturday, 20 June 2009 [7:15 PM PST]

click to get RSS data
LINFA (03W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr

TYPHOON LINFA (03W/0903)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 010
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 20 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #013 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
  • Typhoon LINFA (03W) slowed down and turned slightly NNE...Fujian Province of China and Taiwan remains under serious threat.

    *Residents and visitors along Southeastern China and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of LINFA.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: LINFA is expected to continue moving NNE for the next 24 hours before turning to the NE. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LINFA weakening as it passes over Taiwan Strait or in between Fujian Province and Taiwan by late tomorrow night or early Monday morning, June 22. It shall further accelerate across the southern portion of the East China Sea on Tuesday, June 23, before zooming across the NW Pacific or to the south of Kyuhsu, Shikoku and Honshu in Japan on Wednesday & Thursday (June 23-24). LINFA is expected to become Extratropical on Thursday or Friday (June 24-25).

    + Effects: LINFA's circulation remains over the northern part of South China Sea. However, its Northern Outer bands is likely to reach the Western part of Taiwan and the coastal areas of Fujian Province of China later tonight. Increasing winds of up to 50 kph with light to moderate rains can be expected along these bands. Deteriorating weather conditions can be expected along SE China and Western Taiwan tomorrow as the typhoon approaches.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    (1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) drifting across Micronesia to the SSW of Guam...located near lat 10.1N lon 144.0E...or about 375 km SSW of Hagatna, Guam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently moving WNW slowly.

    This system will be closely monitored for possible development into significant Tropical Cyclone within the next few days.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat June 20 2009
    Location of Center: 20.8º N Lat 117.7º E Lon
    Distance 1: 305 km (165 nm) SSE of Shantou, China
    Distance 2: 335 km (180 nm) SW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
    Distance 3: 395 km (215 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
    Distance 4: 440 km (230 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
    Distance 5: 415 km (225 nm) SSW of Xiamen, China
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    120 kph (65 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
    Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: NNE @ 09 kph (05 kts)
    General Direction: Fujian-Taiwan Strait Area
    Size (in Diameter): 590 km (320 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 19 ft (5.7 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat June 20
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Sat June 20
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sat June 20
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
    2 AM (18 GMT) 21 JUNE: 21.7N 118.1E / 120-150 KPH / NNE @ 17 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 21 JUNE: 23.4N 118.6E / 110-140 KPH / NE @ 17 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 22 JUNE: 26.2N 122.0E / 95-120 KPH / ENE @ 24 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 23 JUNE: 28.7N 127.2E / 75-95 KPH / E @ 33 KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 20 JUNE POSITION: 20.4N 117.4E.
    ^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W (LINFA) HAS SLOWLY INCREASED ITS
    INTENSITY TO 60 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
    IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, RJTD AND KNES ALONG WITH A
    192126Z 89 GHZ IMAGE SHOWING A MICROWAVE EYE-LIKE FEATURE. ANIMATED
    WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW.
    POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS ALSO BECOME WELL ESTABLISHED WITH AN OUTFLOW
    CHANNEL THAT IS ALLOWING DEEP CONVECTION TO WRAP AROUND THE NORTHERN
    PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM CAUSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE TS
    THAT HAS BECOME CUT OFF FROM THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. TS 03W HAS
    STEADILY DRIFTED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
    RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST
    ...(
    more)

    >> LINFA, meaning: LotusName contributed by: Macau.

    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 2 PM (06 GMT) 20 JUNE: 20.4N 117.4E / NNE @ 07 kph / 95 kph [Outside PAR]

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION
    :


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTES:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
     
      * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
          signals, visit:
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

     ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near its center.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TY LINFA (03W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    Recent Activity
    Visit Your Group
    Yahoo! Groups

    Auto Enthusiast Zone

    Auto Enthusiast Zone

    Discover auto groups

    Yahoo! Groups

    Join people over 40

    who are finding ways

    to stay in shape.

    Dog Fanatics

    on Yahoo! Groups

    Find people who are

    crazy about dogs.

    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: