Tuesday, June 23, 2009

TD 04W (FERIA) now a Tropical Storm (TS)...[Update #004]




for Tuesday, 23 June 2009 [1:15 PM PST]

click to get RSS data
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 3-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on FERIA!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon June 22 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories on Tropical Depression 04W as it heads towards Samar-Bicol Area...Storm Warning Signal #2 now raised over parts of Visayas & Southern Bicol.


04W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM 04W (FERIA)
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004

As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 23 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #003 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
  • 04W (FERIA) has reached Tropical Storm threshold as it moves closer to the coast of Southeastern Samar.

    *Residents and visitors along Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the progress of 04W.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: 04W shall start to turn more WNW and slowly intensify as it traverses the Visayas. The 2-day Medium Range Forecast shows 04W making landfall over Samar-Leyte this afternoon and cross either Masbate or Sorsogon early tomorrow morning (around 2 AM) with forecast winds of 85-95 kph.

    + Effects: 04W's circulation is now affecting the Visayas and Bicol Region. Heavy Rainbands continue to spread across Samar, Leyte, Rest of Visayas, Bicol Region and Northern Mindanao...Winds of up to 65 kph with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains can be expected along these bands. Rain bands may reach Southern Quezon later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the disturbance's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to affect the area today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue June 23 2009
    Location of Center: 11.1º N Lat 126.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 115 km (62 nm) ESE of Borongan, E.Samar
    Distance 2: 140 km (75 nm) East of Tacloban City
    Distance 3: 320 km (173 nm) ESE of Masbate
    Distance 4: 385 km (207 nm) ESE of Roxas City
    Distance 5: 360 km (195 nm) SE of Legazpi City
    Distance 6: 405 km (220 nm) SE of Gota Beach
    Distance 7: 435 km (235 nm) SE of Metro Naga/CWC
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    65 kph (35 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 20 kph (11 kts)
    General Direction: Samar-Leyte Area
    Size (in Diameter): 350 km (190 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
    T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Tue June 23
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Tue June 23
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) click to know meaning
    Now In Effect: MASBATE, TICAO, SORSOGON, ALBAY, SAMAR & LEYTE PROVINCES, BILIRAN ISLAND.

    The above areas will experience stormy weather today (with winds of up to 85 kph for #02). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    Now In Effect: CAMARINES PROVINCES, SOUTHERN QUEZON, CATANDUANES, BURIAS ISLAND, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN LEYTE, CAMOTES IS., CEBU, BOHOL, NORTHERN NEGROS, CAPIZ, ILOILO, AKLAN, DINAGAT IS., SIARGAO, SURIGAO DEL NORTE, CAMIGUIN.

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

    12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
    8 PM (12 GMT) 23 JUNE: 11.7N 124.7E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 24 JUNE: 12.6N 122.7E / 95-120 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 25 JUNE: 15.2N 119.6E / 95-120 KPH / N @ 19 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 26 JUNE: 19.2N 119.4E / 65-85 KPH / NE @ 26 KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 23 JUNE POSITION: 11.1N 126.7E.
    ^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (FOUR) CONTINUED TO TRACK TO THE WEST
    ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPING NORTH
    OF TS 04W. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS SEEN A DECREASE IN
    THE TRACK SPEED AS IT HAS APPROACHED THE PHILIPPINES, WITH A FURTHER
    REDUCTION IN TRACK SPEED EXPECTED AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
    PORTION OF THE PHILIPPINES. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) HAS
    CONTINUED TO BUILD TO THE WEST, CAUSING A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN
    PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. WARNING NR 03 IS THE FIRST WARNING AS A
    TROPICAL STORM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTIVE
    BANDING THAT HAS STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
    ...(
    more)
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 10 AM (02 GMT) 23 JUNE: 11.3N 126.4E / WNW @ 22 kph / 65 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION
    :


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS 04W (FERIA)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    Recent Activity
    Visit Your Group
    Give Back

    Yahoo! for Good

    Get inspired

    by a good cause.

    Y! Toolbar

    Get it Free!

    easy 1-click access

    to your groups.

    Yahoo! Groups

    Start a group

    in 3 easy steps.

    Connect with others.

    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: