Friday, June 26, 2009

TS NANGKA (FERIA) nearing landfall... [Update #015]




for Friday, 26 June 2009 [5:59 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri June 26 2009):

Just added T2K ADVISORY ARCHIVES link, located just below the T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY header.


NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 70 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 018

As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Fri 26 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #016 / T2K ANALYSIS
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) approaching the coast of Guangdong Province with little convection...Landfall just hours away.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to make landfall tonight or around midnight over Guangdong Province, approximately 100 km. west of Hong Kong. After its landfall, NANGKA shall recurve to the North or NNE and dissipate along the rugged terrain of Eastern Guangdong tomorrow evening or early Sunday, June 28.

    + Effects: NANGKA's circulation remains fully-exposed with most of its thick rain-cloud convection sheared-off to the south and SW of the center. The moderate vertical wind shear (upper level winds) over the South China Sea remains one of the inhibiting factors on NANGKA's poor development. Its sheared rain bands is expected to reach Guangdong Province tomorrow. Light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

     

    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Fri June 26 2009
    Location of Center: 21.8º N Lat 115.2º E Lon
    Distance 1: 110 km (60 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
    Distance 2: 235 km (127 nm) SW of Shantou, China
    Distance 3: 720 km (390 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    75 kph (40 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: NNW @ 31 kph (17 kts)
    General Direction: Southern China
    Size (in Diameter): 520 km (280 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Fri June 26
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Fri June 26
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Fri June 26
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST:
    2 AM (18 GMT) 27 JUNE: 22.9N 115.1E / 65-85 KPH / N @ 15 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 27 JUNE: 24.5N 115.2E / 45-65 KPH / NNE @ 09 KPH
    2 AM (18 GMT) 28 JUNE: 25.5N 115.7E / 45-65 KPH / .. @ .. KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JUNE POSITION: 20.8N 115.6E.
    ^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (NANGKA) CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE
    NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
    (STR) EAST OF LUZON. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE
    LAST 12 HOURS WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AS THE PRIMARY
    LIMITING CAUSE. INTENSITY IS BASED ON ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES AND
    RJTD. A 252140Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS CONVECTION ONLY OVER
    THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF AN INCREASINGLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)...
    (
    more)

    >> NANGKA, meaning: JackFruitName contributed by: Malaysia.
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION
    :


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS NANGKA (FERIA)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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