Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010
Name: TYPHOON CIMARON [PAENG/22W/0619]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 31 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #019
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Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #019
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TYPHOON CIMARON (PAENG) DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER
THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AS IT EXITS PAR.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CIMARON is expected to intensify slightly and shall maintain its WNW motion for the
next 48 hours. The 3 to 5-day (Nov 3-5) long-range
forecast shows CIMARON on a new path that would bring
its center over Western Guangdong, China in the after-
noon of November 4, Saturday. This new forecast track
diminishes the typhoon's 2nd landfall over Vietnam.
+ EFFECTS: The system's circulation is no longer affec-
ting any Asian landmass and remains over the South
China Sea.
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 31 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.0º N...LONGITUDE 116.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 425 KM (230 NM) WEST OF LAOAG CITY
DISTANCE 2: 540 KM (290 NM) SE OF HONG KONG
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 09 KM/HR (05 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 28 FEET (8.5 METERS)
VIEW FINAL TRACKING MAP: 11 AM PST TUE OCTOBER 31
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
DISTANCE 3: 645 KM (348 NM) ESE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN IS.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 09 KM/HR (05 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 28 FEET (8.5 METERS)
VIEW FINAL TRACKING MAP: 11 AM PST TUE OCTOBER 31
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - NOW LOWERED.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 NOV: N/A
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 NOV: N/A
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 NOV: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 NOV: N/A
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 NOV: N/A
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 NOV: N/A
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 OCTOBER POSITION: 17.9N 116.8E.
^...(more info)
>> CIMARON {pronounced: see~mah~ron}
Wild Ox. Name contributed by: Philippines
____________
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 31 OCTOBER: 17.3N 116.9E / W @ 11 KPH / 130 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY CIMARON (PAENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY CIMARON (PAENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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