Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Typhoon CIMARON (PAENG) - Update #010


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010
Name: TYPHOON CIMARON [PAENG/22W/0619] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 31 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #019
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON CIMARON (PAENG) DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER
THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AS IT EXITS PAR.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CIMARON is expected to intensify
slightly and shall maintain its WNW motion for the
next 48 hours. The 3 to 5-day (Nov 3-5) long-range
forecast shows CIMARON on a new path that would bring
its center over Western Guangdong, China in the after-
noon of November 4, Saturday. This new forecast track
diminishes the typhoon's 2nd landfall over Vietnam
. 

+ EFFECTS: The system's circulation is no longer affec-
ting any Asian landmass and remains over the South
China Sea
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 31 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.0º N...LONGITUDE 116.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 425 KM (230 NM) WEST OF LAOAG CITY
DISTANCE 2: 540 KM (290 NM) SE OF HONG KONG
DISTANCE 3: 645 KM (348 NM) ESE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN IS.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 09 KM/HR (05 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 28 FEET (8.5 METERS)
VIEW FINAL TRACKING MAP: 11 AM PST TUE OCTOBER 31
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - NOW LOWERED.
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 NOV: N/A
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 NOV: N/A
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 NOV: N/A

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 OCTOBER POSITION: 17.9N 116.8E.
^...(more info)

>> CIMARON {pronounced: see~mah~ron}, meaning: 
Philippine 
   Wild Ox
Name contributed by: Philippines
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 31 OCTOBER: 17.3N 116.9E / W @ 11 KPH / 130 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY CIMARON (PAENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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