Saturday, November 11, 2006

Typhoon CHEBI (QUEENIE) now off the coast of Pangasinan... [Update #006]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TYPHOON CHEBI [QUEENIE/23W/0620] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 11 NOVEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 12 NOVEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON CHEBI (QUEENIE) WEAKENS FURTHER WHILE TRAVERSING
PANGASINAN...    JUST A CATEGORY 2 SYSTEM...NOW OVER THE COAST
OF PANGASINAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CHEBI is expected to continue tracking
Westward to WSW away from the Philippines for the next 12
to 24 hours and then turn WNW in the direction of Hainan
and Northern Vietnam. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast
(Nov 14 to 16) shows the system entering the Gulf of Tonkin
as a weakened Tropical Storm by Thursday afternoon (Nov 16).
 

+ EFFECTS: CHEBI's circulation continues to cover Central
& Northern Luzon, with its weakening core moving along
the coast of Pangasinan - bringing typhoon conditions over
the area, while its inner bands spreads across the provin-
ces of Zambales, Pangasinan, Benguet, La Union & Tarlac.
Rains and winds of not in excess of 100 kph will still
prevail tonight. Outer bands still affecting the rest of
Northern and Central Luzon including Metro Manila, Cavite,
Laguna, Rizal & Calayan Islands. Cloudy conditions associa-
ted with thunderstorms and passing rains w/ winds of not
in excess of 50 km/hr will still be expected tonight. Coastal
Storm Surge flooding of more than 6 to 8 feet above normal
tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
can be expected along the Western Coast of Luzon particu-
larly Pangasinan, Zambales and La Union
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 11 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.1º N...LONGITUDE 119.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 65 KM (35 NM) OF WEST OF DAGUPAN CITY
DISTANCE 2: 100 KM (55 NM) WSW OF BAGUIO CITY
DISTANCE 3: 95 KM (50 NM) NNW OF IBA, ZAMBALES
DISTANCE 4: 225 KM (122 NM) NW OF METRO MANILA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TW0 (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 21 FEET (6.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 PM PST SAT NOVEMBER 11
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - LA UNION, PANGASINAN, TARLAC AND NORTHERN ZAMBALES.
#02 -
REST OF ZAMBALES, PAMPANGA, NUEVA ECIJA, NUEVA VIZCAYA, 
      QUIRINO, AURORA, ISABELA, IFUGAO, BENGUET & ILOCOS SUR.

#01 - CAGAYAN, CALAYAN GROUP, ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, ABRA, KA-
      LINGA, MT. PROVINCE, BULACAN & BATAAN
.
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 NOV: 15.7N 118.2E / 175-215 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 NOV: 15.5N 116.2E / 175-215 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 13 NOV: 16.1N 112.3E / 140-165 KPH / WNW @ 09 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 NOVEMBER POSITION: 16.1N 120.3E.
^TY Chebi will continue to track westward along the southern
periphery of the mid-to-upper-level subtropical ridge (str)
through 36 hours. After 48 hours, the western extension of
the str will weaken, causing TY Chebi to begin a gradual
turn poleward along the southwestern periphery of the
str...(more info)

>> CHEBI {pronounced: je~bi}, meaning: A swallow. A small 
   bird with long wings and a forked tail that eats insects, 
   which visits Korea in Spring. Name contributed by: 
   Republic of Korea.
_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 11 NOVEMBER: 15.9N 119.9E / W @ 15 KPH / 120 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red bold letters indicate new 
      areas being hoisted.
For more explanations on these 
      signals, visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY CHEBI (QUEENIE)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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