Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TROPICAL STORM CHEBI [QUEENIE/23W/0620]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 13 NOVEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 14 NOVEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #016
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Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 14 NOVEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #016
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CHEBI (QUEENIE) EXITS THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
(PAR) AS IT WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...HEADS FOR HAINAN
ISLAND-GULF OF TONKIN AREA.
ISLAND-GULF OF TONKIN AREA.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CHEBI is expected to continue losing
strength as it encounters drier air from Southern China
and increasing upper level winds which disrupt the storm's
circulation. The 3 to 4-day forecast (Nov 16-17) shows
CHEBI turning towards the WNW and NW, making a passby over
the western coast of Hainan Island as a weakened depression.
+ EFFECTS: The storm's circulation remains over the South
China Sea and is not affecting any land areas at this time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 13 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.3º N...LONGITUDE 113.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 665 KM (360 NM) OF WEST OF IBA, ZAMBALES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 770 KM (417 NM) SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 605 KM (327 NM) ESE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 4: 570 KM (310 NM) SE OF SANYA, HAINAN ISLAND
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 984 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HAINAN ISLAND-GULF OF TONKIN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 480 KM (260 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST MON NOVEMBER 13
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 13 NOV: 15.6N 112.4E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 NOV: 16.3N 111.0E / 100-130 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 15 NOV: 17.8N 109.1E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 07 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 13 NOVEMBER POSITION: 15.2N 114.2E.
^TY Chebi is currently tracking westward under the steering
influence of the mid-level subtropical ridge (str), which,
according to the 12/00z 500mb analysis, is centered north-
east of Hainan Island, China. The 500 mb high center has
shifted eastward to its present position and has built
eastward over Taiwan over the past 24 hours in response to
a midlatitude ridge building into eastern China. Detailed
analysis shows that the northwestern periphery of the str
has weakened due to a series of shortwaves moving across
China and is expected to continue weakening and shifting
eastward as evident by height falls north of Vietnam.
This evolving pattern is key to the forecast through 72
hours and is supported by the majority of dynamic aids
which indicate a west-northwestward to northwestward
track along the southwestern periphery of the str. This
forecast is based on a consensus of the available dynamic
aids through 72 hours...(more info)
>> CHEBI {pronounced: je~bi}, meaning: A swallow. A small
bird with long wings and a forked tail that eats insects,
which visits Korea in Spring. Name contributed by:
Republic of Korea.
____________
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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red bold letters indicate new
areas being hoisted. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS CHEBI (QUEENIE)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red bold letters indicate new
areas being hoisted. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS CHEBI (QUEENIE)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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