for Friday, 31 January 2014 [4:43 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAJIKI (BASYANG) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Friday 31 January 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Friday 31 January 2014
02W (BASYANG) strengthens into a Tropical Storm (TS) and is now known internationally as KAJIKI, a japanese word for a spearfish. This storm is now rapidly accelerating towards Northernmost Caraga Region and the Visayas...and is expected to be over Dinagat-Siargao Islands tonight.
Kajiki (Basyang) will enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 65 kph across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and some parts of Northern Visayas this weekend.
Residents and visitors along Northeastern Mindanao and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of TS Kajiki (Basyang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT...
Location: Over the South Philippine Sea (near 9.7N 128.6E)
About: 275 km east of Siargao Island...or 340 km east of Surigao City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near its center): 300 mm [Extreme]
Past Movement: West at 48 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-northwest at 35 kph
Towards: Siargao-Dinagat-Southern Leyte Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to continue moving west to west-northwest at an accelerated pace within the next 24 hours...slowing down through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TS Kajiki (Basyang) will traverse Dinagat-Siargao Islands tonight...and cross Central Visayas via the Southern Tip of Leyte-Central Cebu-Central Negros until Saturday early morning. By Saturday morning, the storm will move past the southern tip of Panay Island, cruising across the Sulu Sea and will traverse Northern Palawan Saturday evening. It will then be over the West Philippine Sea on Sunday morning.
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 12 hours...before weakening into a Tropical Depression through the next 24 hours due to land interaction. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 km/hr on Saturday morning.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
SATURDAY MORNING: Weakens to a TD as it moves across the southern tip of Panay...60 km WSW of Iloilo City [8AM FEB 01: 10.5N 122.1E @ 55kph]. SUNDAY MORNING: Dissipates into an area of low pressure while moving across the West Philippine Sea...about 350 km W of El Nido, Palawan [8AM FEB 02: 11.3N 116.5E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
NORTHERN CARAGA / EASTERN VISAYAS REGION: Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm with tropical storm force winds of not more than 75 kph will be experienced along these areas beginning today through Saturday morning . Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides. NORTHERN MINDANAO / REST OF CARAGA / CENTRAL & WESTERN VISAYAS / EASTERN MASBATE / NORTHERN PALAWAN: Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas beginning today through Sunday morning. Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Fri Jan 31, 2014
Class/Name: TS Kajiki (Basyang)
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 9.7º N Lat 128.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 275 km E of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 340 km E of Surigao City
Distance 3: 425 km ESE of Maasin City
Distance 4: 520 km ESE of Metro Cebu
Distance 5: 525 km E of Tagbilaran City
CPA [ETA] to Dinagat and Siargao Islands: Tonight [between 6-8PM PhT]
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KAJIKI (BASYANG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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