for Saturday, 18 January 2014 [3:15 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINGLING (AGATON) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday 18 January 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Saturday 18 January 2014
Tropical Depression LINGLING [AGATON] has remained almost stationary near the waters of Eastern Visayas and Northeastern Mindanao...threatens Surigao Provinces including Dinagat and Siargao Islands. Heavy rains associated with this depression continue to pour across Samar and Leyte Provinces.
Lingling (Agaton) will continue to enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing slight to moderate rains and gusty winds across EasternLuzon including Bicol Region and some parts of the Visayas today through Monday.
Residents and visitors along Northeastern and Northern Mindanao, and Eastern Visayas should closely monitor the development of Lingling (Agaton).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT
Location: Over the South Philippine Sea (near 10.0N 126.7E)
About: 70 km east-northeast of Siargao Island...or 150 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 km/hr near the center...Gustiness: 75 km/hr
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): Extreme [200 mm]
Past Movement: Quasi-stationary
Forecast Movement: Southwest slowly
Towards: Northern Caraga and Northern Mindanao Area
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD Lingling (Agaton) is expected to move southwestward within the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD Lingling (Agaton) will make landfall along the Surigao Del Norte-Del Sur Border this evening (between 8-10 PM)...and traverse provinces of Agusan Del Norte and Bukidnon through Sunday morning.
TD Lingling (Agaton) is expected to lose strength during landfall and will weaken further into an area of low pressure through 24 hours due to its passage across the landmass of Northern Caraga and Northern Mindanao. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 20 km/hr on Sunday morning.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
SUNDAY MORNING: Over Malaybalay Bukidnon [8AM JAN 19: 8.0N 125.0E @ 20kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
POTENTIAL HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone:
NORTHERN CARAGA - Moderate to heavy rains of 30 to 100 mm will be experienced along these areas...becoming heavy to extreme rains of more than 100 mm along the provinces of Surigao Del Norte, Dinagat and Siargao Islands through Sunday evening. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides. EASTERN VISAYAS - Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm will be experienced along these areas...becoming heavy to extreme rains of more than 100 mm along the southern portions of the provinces of Eastern Samar and Samar, Southern Leyte and the eastern portions of Leyte through Sunday evening. NORTHERN PART OF NORTHERN MINDANAO - Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas through Sunday evening.
Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Sat Jan 18, 2014
Class/Name: TD LINGLING (Agaton)
Location of Center: Near 10.0º N Lat 126.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 70 km ENE of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 130 km ENE of Surigao City
Distance 3: 150 km SE of Guiuan, E.Samar
Distance 4: 215 km ESE of Maasin City
Distance 5: 225 km SE of Tacloban City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph
Past Movement: Quasi-stationary
Forecast Movement: SW Slowly
Towards: Forecast to move southwest later towards Northern Caraga-Northern Mindanao Area
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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