Friday, January 31, 2014

TD (BASYANG) Update #001


for Friday, 31 January 2014 [1:43 AM PhT]


Issued at: 9:00 PM PhT (13:00 GMT) Thursday 30 January 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Friday 31 January 2014

The broad and strong Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) north of Palau has strengthened into a Tropical Depression (TD) locally known as "BASYANG" threatens Northeastern Mindanao and the Visayas.

This depression (Basyang) is likely to enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 55 kph across Eastern Luzon including Bicol Region and some parts of Northern Visayas this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Northeastern Mindanao and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of the TD (Basyang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


As of 8:00 PM PhT today...1200 GMT...

Location: Over the eastern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 9.3N 135.1E)
About: 990 km east-southeast of Siargao Island...or 1,055 km east-southeast of Surigao City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near its center): 250 mm [Extreme]
Past Movement: West-northwest at 26 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 35 kph
Towards: Northeastern Mindanao-Visayas Area


The TD (Basyang) is expected to move west at a faster rate throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD (Basyang) will traverse Surigao Del Norte-Dinagat-Siargao Islands on Friday evening...cross Central and Western Visayas on Saturday morning...and approach Northern Palawan on Saturday evening.

The TD (Basyang) is expected to slightly intensify within the next 24 hours...before weakening through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 55 km/hr on Friday evening.

The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system:

FRIDAY EVENING: Intensifies slightly as it approaches Surigao Del Norte...125 km ESE of Siargao Island [8PM JAN 31: 9.6N 127.2E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY EVENING: Maintains its strength...approaches Northern Palawan...about 70 km SE of El Nido, Palawan [8PM FEB 01: 10.8N 120.1E @ 55kph].
SUNDAY EVENING: Weakens slightly as it moves across the West Philippine Sea...about 185 km E of Pagasa Island, Spratly Islands [8PM FEB 02: 11.0N 116.0E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

NORTHERN CARAGA / EASTERN VISAYAS REGION:  Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm are likely along these areas beginning early Friday morning through Saturday afternoon . Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation.

NORTHERN MINDANAO / REST OF CARAGA / CENTRAL & WESTERN VISAYAS / EASTERN MASBATE / NORTHERN PALAWAN:  Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm are likely along these areas beginning Friday morning through Sunday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 8:00 PM PhT Thu Jan 30, 2014
Class/Name: TD (Basyang)
Location of Center: Near 9.3º N Lat 135.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 990 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 1055 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 3: 1145 km ESE of Maasin City
Distance 4: 1240 km ESE of Tagbilaran City
Distance 5: 1235 km ESE of Metro Cebu
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)

T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF


CURRENT TRACKING MAP: _____________________________________________________________________________





>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

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