Friday, January 31, 2014

TD 02W (BASYANG) Update #002


for Friday, 31 January 2014 [8:29 AM PhT]


Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday 31 January 2014
Next Update: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Friday 31 January 2014

Tropical Depression (TD) 02W [BASYANG] has slightly intensified as it rapidly moved westward closer to Caraga and Eastern Visayas Regions. Rainbands expected to spread across these areas beginning today.

02W (Basyang) will enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 55 kph across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and some parts of Northern Visayas this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Northeastern Mindanao and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of TD 02W (Basyang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...

Location: Over the South Philippine Sea (near 9.5N 131.3E)
About: 570 km east-southeast of Siargao Island...or 635 km east-southeast of Surigao City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near its center): 250 mm [Extreme]
Past Movement: West at 33 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-northwest at 31 kph
Towards: Surigao Del Norte-Southern Leyte Area


02W (Basyang) is expected to continue moving westward at an accelerated pace through 24 hours...slowing down through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD 02W (Basyang) will traverse Dinagat-Siargao Islands on Friday evening...cross Central and Western Visayas on Saturday morning...and passing over Northern Palawan on Saturday evening. This system will be over the West Philippine Sea by Sunday morning.

02W (Basyang) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 24 hours...before weakening through 48 hours. There is a possibility that this system could reach minimal Tropical Storm (TS) based on some computer model output. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 45 km/hr on Sunday morning.

The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system:

SATURDAY MORNING: Maintains its strength as it moves across the northern coast of Bohol...65 km ESE of Cebu City [2AM FEB 01: 10.2N 124.5E @ 55kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Weakens slightly as it enters the West Philippine Sea...about 220 km WSW of El Nido, Palawan [2AM FEB 02: 11.1N 117.7E @ 45kph].
MONDAY MORNING: Dissipates into an area of low pressure while moving across the South China Sea...exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 135 km NNE of Pagasa Island, Spratly Islands [2AM FEB 03: 12.2N 114.8E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

NORTHERN CARAGA / EASTERN VISAYAS REGION:  Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm will be experienced along these areas beginning today through Saturday afternoon . Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.

NORTHERN MINDANAO / REST OF CARAGA / CENTRAL & WESTERN VISAYAS / EASTERN MASBATE / NORTHERN PALAWAN:  Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas beginning today through Sunday morning. Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri Jan 31, 2014
Class/Name: TD 02W (Basyang)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

Location of Center: Near 9.5º N Lat 131.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 570 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 635 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 3: 730 km ESE of Maasin City
Distance 4: 815 km ESE of Metro Cebu
Distance 5: 820 km E of Tagbilaran City
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF


CURRENT TRACKING MAP: _____________________________________________________________________________





>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

For the complete details on TD 02W (BASYANG)...go visit our website @:


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