for Sunday, 19 January 2014 [8:48 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINGLING (AGATON) UPDATE NUMBER 005
Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sunday 19 January 2014
Next Update: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Sunday 19 January 2014
LINGLING [AGATON] has weakened into a Tropical Depression (TD) as it moved southward...still threaten Davao Provinces. Heavy rains spreading across Caraga, Davao and Northern Mindanao Regions.
Lingling (Agaton) will continue to enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing slight to moderate rains and gusty winds across Eastern Luzon including Bicol Region and some parts of the Visayas and Northern Mindanao through Monday morning.
Residents and visitors along Central and Southern Mindanao should closely monitor the development of Lingling (Agaton).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...
Location: Over the South Philippine Sea (near 7.5N 128.1E)
About: 180 km east-southeast of Cateel, Davao Oriental...or 225 km east-northeast of Mati City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): Extreme [400 mm]
Size (in diameter): Small (445 km)
Past Movement: South at 17 kph
Forecast Movement: Southwest at 13 kph
Towards: Sea south of Davao Oriental
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD Lingling (Agaton) is expected to move southwest to west-southwest within the next 24 to 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD Lingling (Agaton) will pass just along the southern coast of Davao Oriental on Monday early morning...and move across Celebes Sea, passing very near the coast of Davao Del Sur and Sarangani through Tuesday early morning.
TD Lingling (Agaton) is expected to continue losing strength within the next 12 hours and will weaken further into an area of low pressure through 24 hours due to its passage across the unfavorable environment of the Celebes Sea and the mountainous terrain of Southern Mindanao. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 30 km/hr on Tuesday early morning.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further to a weak TD as it passes along the southern coast of Davao Oriental [2AM JAN 20: 6.2N 126.8E @ 45kph]. TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into an area of low pressure as it turns westward...just along the southern coasts of Davao Del Sur and Sarangani [2AM JAN 21: 5.5N 125.2E @ 30kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
POTENTIAL HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone:
CARAGA / NORTHERN MINDANAO / NORTHERN DAVAO REGION - Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm will be experienced along these areas...becoming extreme rains of more than 100 mm along the provinces of Surigao Del Sur, Agusan Provinces, Compostela Vallay, and the northern portions of Davao Oriental through Sunday evening. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides. NORTHERN SOCCSKSARGEN / NORTHERN ARMM / SOUTHERN LEYTE / BOHOL / CEBU - Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas through Sunday evening. Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Jan 19, 2014
Class/Name: TD Lingling (Agaton)
Location of Center: Near 7.5º N Lat 128.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 180 km ESE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 215 km ESE of Bislig City
Distance 3: 225 km ENE of Mati City
Distance 4: 280 km ENE of Metro Davao
Distance 5: 355 km ENE of General Santos City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph
Past Movement: S @ 17 kph
Forecast Movement: SW @ 13 kph
Towards: Sea south of Davao Oriental
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD LINGLING (AGATON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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