for Friday, 31 January 2014 [4:43 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAJIKI (BASYANG) UPDATE NUMBER 004
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Friday 31 January 2014
Next Update: 12:00 AM PhT (16:00 GMT) Saturday 01 February 2014
Tropical Storm KAJIKI (BASYANG) has gained more strength as it approaches the islands of Siargao and Dinagat...expected to traverse Central and Western Visayas tomorrow (Saturday).
Kajiki (Basyang) will enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 65 kph across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and some parts of Northern Visayas this weekend.
Residents and visitors along Northeastern Mindanao and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of TS Kajiki (Basyang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT...
Location: Over the South Philippine Sea...nearing the coast of Siargao Is. (near 9.8N 126.9E)
About: 90 km east of Siargao Island...or 155 km east of Surigao City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near its center): 300 mm [Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 500 km (Small)
Past Movement: West at 31 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-northwest at 33 kph
Towards: Siargao-Dinagat-Southern Leyte-Bohol-Cebu Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to continue moving west to slightly west-northwest at a faster forward speed within the next 12 to 24 hours...slowing down through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TS Kajiki (Basyang) will traverse Dinagat-Siargao Islands late tonight...and cross Central Visayas via the Southern Tip of Leyte-the northern coast of Bohol-Central Cebu-Central Negros until Saturday morning. By Saturday noon, the storm will move past the southern tip of Panay Island...cruising across the Sulu Sea and will traverse Northern Palawan on Saturday evening. Kajiki will then be over the West Philippine Sea on Sunday afternoon.
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to start to weaken within the next 12 hours...before weakening into a Tropical Depression through the next 24 hours due to land interaction. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 km/hr on Saturday afternoon due to its frictional effects on the Visayan Terrain.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens to a TD as it moves across the Sulu Sea...about 35 km S of Cuyo Island [2PM FEB 01: 10.6N 121.0E @ 55kph].
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of low pressure while moving across the West Philippine Sea...about 185 km ENE of Pagasa Island, Spratlys [2PM FEB 02: 11.3N 116.0E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
NORTHERN CARAGA / EASTERN VISAYAS REGION: Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm with Tropical Storm force winds of not more than 95 kph will be experienced along these areas beginning today through Saturday morning. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
NORTHERN MINDANAO / REST OF CARAGA / CENTRAL & WESTERN VISAYAS / EASTERN MASBATE / NORTHERN PALAWAN: Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas beginning today through Saturday evening...except for Northern Palawan - beginning Saturday morning until Sunday afternoon. Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri Jan 31, 2014
Class/Name: TS Kajiki (Basyang)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 9.8º N Lat 126.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 90 km E of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 155 km E of Surigao City
Distance 3: 250 km ESE of Maasin City
Distance 4: 335 km ESE of Metro Cebu
Distance 5: 340 km E of Tagbilaran City
CPA [ETA] to Dinagat and Siargao Islands: Tonight [between 9-11PM PhT]
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KAJIKI (BASYANG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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