for Saturday, 01 February 2014 [10:57 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAJIKI (BASYANG) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Saturday 01 February 2014
Next Update: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Saturday 01 February 2014
Tropical Storm KAJIKI (BASYANG) with its thick convective rainbands moving ahead is currently traversing the Western Visayas - bringing moderate to heavy to sometimes extreme downpours which could trigger flashfloods and landslides across the affected areas.
Kajiki (Basyang) will continue to enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 50 kph across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and other parts of it this weekend.
Residents and visitors along the Visayas and MiMaRoPa should closely monitor the development of TS Kajiki (Basyang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...
Location: Over Tanon Strait (near 10.2N 123.4E)
About: 70 km southeast of Bacolod City...or 55 km west-southwest of Cebu City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near its center): 300 mm [Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 500 km (Small)
Past Movement: West to West-northwest at 32 kph
Forecast Movement: West-northwest at 20 kph
Towards: Sulu-West Philippine Seas
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to move west-northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TS Kajiki (Basyang) will be traversing Negros early this morning...and cross Sulu Sea in the afternoon through evening via the southern tip of Iloilo towards Northern Palawan. Kajiki will then be over the West Philippine Sea on Sunday early morning.
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to weaken within the next 12 hours...becoming a Tropical Depression through the next 24 hours due to land interaction and unfavorable environment. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 45 kph on Sunday morning.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens to a TD as it moves over the West Philippine Sea...about 60 km WNW of El Nido, Palawan [2AM FEB 02: 11.6N 119.2E @ 45kph]. MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its status as TD while moving farther into the West Philippine Sea...about 260 km NNE of Pagasa Island, Spratlys [2AM FEB 03: 13.0N 115.5E @ 45kph]. TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipates into an area of low pressure as it moves out into the South China Sea...about 290 km NW of Pagasa Island, Spratlys [8PM FEB 02: 13.5N 113.2E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
NORTHERN PALAWAN: Heavy rains of 50 to 100 mm will be experienced until Sunday morning. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides. WESTERN VISAYAS / ROMBLON / CALAMIAN AND CUYO ISLAND GROUP / PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PALAWAN: Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas today...extending through Sunday morning across portions of Central Palawan and the Calamian Group of Islands.. Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Feb 01, 2014
Class/Name: TS Kajiki (Basyang)
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 10.2º N Lat 123.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 70 km SE of Bacolod City
Distance 2: 55 km WSW of Cebu City
Distance 3: 105 km SE of Iloilo City
Distance 4: 70 km NW of Tagbilaran City
Distance 5: 160 km SSE of Roxas City
CPA [ETA] to Northern Palawan: Late tonight [between 11 PM-1 AM PhT]
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KAJIKI (BASYANG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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