for Saturday, 01 February 2014 [7:44 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAJIKI (BASYANG) UPDATE NUMBER 008
Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Saturday 01 February 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sunday 02 February 2014
The rain-free center of Tropical Depression KAJIKI (BASYANG) has started to cross the Calamian Island Group (Northern Palawan). Its thick convective rainbands remain displaced but is now over the West Philippine Sea...thus, improving weather expected across Palawan later tonight.
Residents and visitors along MiMaRoPa should closely monitor the development of TD Kajiki (Basyang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT...
Location: Near Beni Island or off Sulu Sea (near 11.3N 120.2E)
About: 55 km east of El Nido, Palawan...80 km south of Coron, Palawan
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (west of center): 150 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 500 km (Small)
Past Movement: West-northwest at 35 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest at 15 kph
Towards: Calamian Group-West Philippine Sea Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to move west-northwest to northwest within the next 24 to 48 hrs On the forecast track, the core of TD Kajiki (Basyang) will be moving across the West Philippine Sea later tonight through Sunday afternoon and will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early Monday morning. On Monday afternoon, Kajiki (Basyang) will be moving above the cooler waters of the South China Sea, east of Vietnam.
Kajiki (Basyang) is expected to weaken further within the next 24 hours as it moves over an area of unfavorable environment. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 45 kph on Sunday afternoon.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it moves over the West Philippine Sea...about 300 km WNW of Coron, Palawan [2PM FEB 02: 12.5N 117.5E @ 45kph]. MONDAY AFTERNOON: Already outside of the PAR...dissipates into an area of low pressure while over the South China Sea...about 565 km SE of Da Nang, Vietnam [2PM FEB 03: 14.0N 113.0E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
PALAWAN / CALAMIAN GROUP: Moderate to heavy rains of 30-50 mm will be experienced along these areas until tonight. Residents living along hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat Feb 01, 2014
Class/Name: TD Kajiki (Basyang)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 11.3º N Lat 120.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 55 km E of El Nido, Palawan
Distance 2: 55 km W of Pamalican Island
Distance 3: 80 km S of Coron, Palawan
Distance 4: 100 km NW of Cuyo Island
Distance 5: 195 km WSW of Boracay Island
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD KAJIKI (BASYANG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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