Wednesday, December 13, 2006

Typhoon UTOR (SENIANG) - Update #011


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #011
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 12 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 13 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #022
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON UTOR (SENIANG) RE-INTENSIFIES OVER THE WARM WATERS OF
THE SOUTH CHINA SEA...LEAVES PAR...THREATENS HAINAN ISLAND


...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR
.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving WNW
to NW across the South China Sea regaining Category 3 strength
(185 kph) within 12 hours. The 3 to 5-day long range fore-
cast (Dec 15 to 17) shows UTOR turning Southwestwards towards
the coast of Vietnam before it reach Hainan Island on the
morning of Dec 15 (Fri) and shall weaken rapidly due to cool
dry air intrusion and strong upper level winds (Wind Shear)

+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation remains over the South China
Sea and is no longer affecting any major Pacific Islands.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) will continue to bring
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across Southern China and Taiwan.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 12 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 15.0º N...LONGITUDE 114.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 720 KM (390 NM) WNW OF METRO MANILA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 675 KM (365 NM) ESE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 3: 640 KM (345 NM) SE OF SANYA, HAINAN ISLAND
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HAINAN ISLAND
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 705 KM (380 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 35 FEET (10.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST TUE DECEMBER 12
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A.
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 13 DEC: 15.5N 113.2E / 185-230 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 13 DEC: 16.2N 112.0E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 14 DEC: 17.4N 111.0E / 100-130 KPH / WEST @ 02 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 12 DECEMBER POSITION: 14.8N 114.8E.
^...(more info)

>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word 
   for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:


    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:


>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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