Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 10 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 11 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #014
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 11 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #014
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON UTOR (SENIANG) RAPIDLY BECOMES A CATEGORY THREE
SYSTEM WHILE CROSSING BORACAY THIS MORNING...NOW OVER THE
SOUTH CHINA SEA AFTER LASHING SOUTHERN MINDORO A FEW
SOUTH CHINA SEA AFTER LASHING SOUTHERN MINDORO A FEW
HOURS AGO.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
+ Reports from Boracay Island Resort via Bombo Radio (as
of 1 PM): 1 dead, 100+ missing, hundreds of boats & a few
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
+ Reports from Boracay Island Resort via Bombo Radio (as
of 1 PM): 1 dead, 100+ missing, hundreds of boats & a few
resorts destroyed. The island is stripped of trees & com-
pletely isolated. The island hit by 15 to 20-foot storm
surge. In Aklan: all rivers overflowing & Kalibo currently
flooded...Caticlan-Kalibo Highway not passable. (SMS
report by Dominic Alojado, from Bacolod City)
pletely isolated. The island hit by 15 to 20-foot storm
surge. In Aklan: all rivers overflowing & Kalibo currently
flooded...Caticlan-
report by Dominic Alojado, from Bacolod City)
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving WNW
becoming a Category 5 Super Typhoon with projected winds of
250 km/hr. The 3 to 5-day long range forecast (Dec 13 to 15)
shows UTOR recurving towards the NE before it reaches Hainan
Island on the afternoon of Dec 14 (Thu) and shall weaken
rapidly due to dry air intrusion and strong upper level
winds (Wind Shear).
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's core (eye & eyewall) is no longer over
Southern Mindoro and Calamian Group...Inner bands continues
to affect the Calamian Group and the coastal areas of Min-
doro Occidental. Typhoon force winds with moderate to heavy
rains can be expected tonight along inner bands of Utor.
Meanwhile, its outer bands continues to spread across Nor-
thern Palawan, Mindoro, Central Luzon & Western Visayas. 30
to 50 km/hr winds and rains can be expected along areas
affected by the outer bands. People living around the slopes
of Mayon Volcano in Albay especially along the area where
possible LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water)
are located - must evacuate now as moderate to heavy rains
associated by this typhoon is still possible tonight.
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal
tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
can be expected near and to the north of Utor's projected
path.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 10 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 12.7º N...LONGITUDE 119.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 90 KM (48 NM) NNW OF CORON, PALAWAN
DISTANCE 2: 145 KM (78 NM) WNW OF SAN JOSE, OCC. MINDORO
DISTANCE 3: 150 KM (80 NM) SE OF PUERTO GALERA
DISTANCE 4: 225 KM (122 NM) SW OF LUCENA CITY
DISTANCE 5: 245 KM (132 NM) WNW OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT
DISTANCE 6: 255 KM (137 NM) SSW OF METRO MANILA
DISTANCE 7: 425 KM (230 NM) WSW OF LEGAZPI CITY
DISTANCE 5: 245 KM (132 NM) WNW OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT
DISTANCE 6: 255 KM (137 NM) SSW OF METRO MANILA
DISTANCE 7: 425 KM (230 NM) WSW OF LEGAZPI CITY
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 230 KM/HR (125 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY THREE (3)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 944 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 21 FEET (6.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 PM PST SUN DECEMBER 10
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - OCCIDENTAL MINDORO & CALAMIAN GROUP.
#02 - ORIENTAL MINDORO & LUBANG ISLAND.
#01 - METRO MANILA, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, BATANGAS,
LAGUNA, CAVITE, RIZAL, BATAAN, PAMPANGA,
BULACAN, ZAMBALES, AKLAN, ANTIQUE, NORTHERN
PALAWAN & CUYO ISLAND.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 11 DEC: 13.0N 118.4E / 205-250 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 11 DEC: 13.5N 116.6E / 230-280 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 DEC: 14.7N 113.7E / 220-270 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 10 DECEMBER POSITION: 12.6N 120.3E.
^Over the previous 24 hours, TY Utor has intensified at a
greater than climatological rate. Through 72 hrs, TY Utor
will track west-northwestward along the southern periphery
of a subtropical ridge (str) located north of the system.
Around 72 hrs, TY Utor will slow and begin to track north-
westward towards a weakness in the str near Hainan Island,
China. This scenario is supported by the available dynamic
aids, which are in fair agreement through 72 hrs. This
forecast is based on a consensus of all available
dynamic aids...(more info)
>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word
for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 10 DECEMBER: 12.7N 120.1E / WNW @ 17 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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