Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 11 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 11 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #016
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 11 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #016
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON UTOR (SENIANG) HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO
INTERACTION WITH 7,500 FOOT MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND OF
MINDORO...NOW OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA...MOVING AWAY
FROM THE PHILIPPINES.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
INTERACTION WITH 7,500 FOOT MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND OF
MINDORO...NOW OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA...MOVING AWAY
FROM THE PHILIPPINES.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving
WNW becoming a Category 4 Typhoon with projected winds
of 215 km/hr within the next 24-36 hours. The 3 to 5-day
long range forecast (Dec 14 to 16) shows UTOR recurving
towards the NE before it reach Hainan Island on the mor-
ning of Dec 15 (Fri) and shall weaken rapidly due to cool
dry air intrusion and strong upper level winds (Wind
Shear).
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation is now well over the South
China Sea with its Eastern Outer Bands only affecting the
Western Coast of Mindoro & Lubang Is. Improving weather
conditions can be expected today across much of Mindoro
and Visayas.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) is currently bringing
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila, beco-
ming more frequent along the northern and eastern
seaboards.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 11 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 13.3º N...LONGITUDE 118.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 260 KM (140 NM) NW OF CORON, PALAWAN
of 215 km/hr within the next 24-36 hours. The 3 to 5-day
long range forecast (Dec 14 to 16) shows UTOR recurving
towards the NE before it reach Hainan Island on the mor-
ning of Dec 15 (Fri) and shall weaken rapidly due to cool
dry air intrusion and strong upper level winds (Wind
Shear).
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation is now well over the South
China Sea with its Eastern Outer Bands only affecting the
Western Coast of Mindoro & Lubang Is. Improving weather
conditions can be expected today across much of Mindoro
and Visayas.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) is currently bringing
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila, beco-
ming more frequent along the northern and eastern
seaboards.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 11 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 13.3º N...LONGITUDE 118.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 260 KM (140 NM) NW OF CORON, PALAWAN
DISTANCE 2: 295 KM (157 NM) WEST OF PUERTO GALERA
DISTANCE 3: 345 KM (185 NM) WSW OF METRO MANILA
DISTANCE 4: 430 KM (230 NM) WNW OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT
DISTANCE 4: 430 KM (230 NM) WNW OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 AM PST MON DECEMBER 11
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - OCCIDENTAL MINDORO, CALAMIAN GROUP & LUBANG
ISLAND.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 11 DEC: 13.7N 116.9E / 175-215 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 DEC: 14.2N 115.2E / 205-250 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 13 DEC: 15.3N 112.5E / 195-240 KPH / NW @ 09 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 11 DECEMBER POSITION: 13.2N 118.6E.
^TY Utor has weakened at a greater than climatological rate
over the previous 24 hours due to terrain interaction and
decreased equatorward outflow. TY Utor will continue to
track west-northwestward along the southwestern periphery
of a subtropical ridge (str) located north of Luzon. From
48 hrs, TY Utor will begin to track poleward towards a weak-
ness in the str located southeast of Hainan Island. This weak-
ness will be enhanced by a developing midlatitude trough that
is currently over western China...(more info)
>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word
for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 11 DECEMBER: 13.2N 118.4E / WNW @ 15 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch format to Traditional
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
SPONSORED LINKS
.
__,_._,___
No comments:
Post a Comment