Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 12 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 12 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #020
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 12 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #020
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON UTOR (SENIANG) HEADS FOR HAINAN ISLAND, AWAY FROM
THE PHILIPPINES...TO EXIT PAR TODAY.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
THE PHILIPPINES...TO EXIT PAR TODAY.
...All interests in the Vietnam and Hainan Island should
closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving WNW
across the South China Sea regaining Category 3 strength
(185 kph) within 24 hours. The 3 to 5-day long range fore-
cast (Dec 15 to 17) shows UTOR turning Southwestwards towards
the coast of Vietnam before it reach Hainan Island on the
morning of Dec 15 (Fri) and shall weaken rapidly due to cool
morning of Dec 15 (Fri) and shall weaken rapidly due to cool
dry air intrusion and strong upper level winds (Wind Shear).
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation remains over the South China
Sea and is no longer affecting any major Pacific Islands.
Improving weather conditions can be expected today across
much of Mindoro and Visayas.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) will continue to bring
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across Northeastern Luzon including Catanduanes Island,
becoming more frequent along the northeastern seaboards.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 12 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 14.2º N...LONGITUDE 116.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 470 KM (253 NM) WSW OF SUBIC BAY
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's circulation remains over the South China
Sea and is no longer affecting any major Pacific Islands.
Improving weather conditions can be expected today across
much of Mindoro and Visayas.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Northeast
Monsoon enhanced by UTOR (SENIANG) will continue to bring
cloudy skies with occasional rains and 30-km/hr NE winds
across Northeastern Luzon including Catanduanes Island,
becoming more frequent along the northeastern seaboards.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 12 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 14.2º N...LONGITUDE 116.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 470 KM (253 NM) WSW OF SUBIC BAY
DISTANCE 2: 535 KM (290 NM) WNW OF PUERTO GALERA
DISTANCE 3: 550 KM (297 NM) WEST OF METRO MANILA
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 34 FEET (10.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 AM PST TUE DECEMBER 12
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: ...NOW LOWERED.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 DEC: 14.7N 114.7E / 165-205 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 13 DEC: 15.5N 113.0E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 DEC: 16.8N 111.3E / 130-160 KPH / NW @ 04 KPH
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 DEC: 14.7N 114.7E / 165-205 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 13 DEC: 15.5N 113.0E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 DEC: 16.8N 111.3E / 130-160 KPH / NW @ 04 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 12 DECEMBER POSITION: 14.1N 116.4E.
^THE TRACK IN THE EXTENDED HOURS REPRESENTS A CHANGE FROM
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. BEYOND 72 HOURS, A DE-COUPLING WILL
OCCUR BETWEEN THE UPPER AND LOWER LEVELS OF THE STORM DUE TO
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE FORECAST TRACK REPRESENTS
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 850 MB NORTHEASTERLY FLOW...(more info)
>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word
for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 12 DECEMBER: 13.8N 117.1E / WNW @ 13 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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