for Monday, 04 August 2014 [10:09 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON HALONG (JOSE) UPDATE NUMBER 004
Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Monday 04 August 2014
Next Update: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Tuesday 05 August 2014
HALONG (JOSE) has been downgraded into a Typhoon as it continues to weaken slowly...shifted its course towards the north-northwest while moving across the Philippine Sea...heading towards the Southern Islands of Japan.
This intense typhoon will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional to frequent rains, and thunderstorms with gusty winds (not exceeding 65 kph) across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, and some portions of Western and Central Luzon including Metro Manila through Wednesday. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands, and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of TY Halong (Jose).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY Halong (Jose)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 17.6N 130.1E)
About: 865 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora...or 890 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 180 kph near the center...Gustiness: 225 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 948 millibars (hPa)
Size (in diameter): 870 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 17 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest @ 12 kph
Towards: Okinawa-Ryukyus Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Halong (Jose) is expected to continue to move north-northwestward during the next 24 hours...veering to the north to north-northeast through 48 hours. On the forecast track, Halong (Jose) will just be moving across the open waters of the North Philippine Sea as it heads towards Okinawa-Ryukyus Area through Wednesday.
Halong (Jose) will continue to weaken slowly throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 155 kph by Wednesday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to lose strength as it turns to North-Northeast towards the North Philippine Sea...about 805 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan [2PM AUG 05: 19.9N 129.6E @ 155kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to slightly weaken while over the North Philippine Sea...turns Northward...about 435 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan [2PM AUG 06: 23.4N 130.4E @ 180kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it approaches Okinawa-Ryukyus Area...about 280 km east of Okinawa, Japan [2PM AUG 07: 26.5N 130.6E @ 140kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon Aug 04, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 17.6º N Lat 130.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 740 km NE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 820 km ENE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 3: 840 km ESE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 920 km ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 1015 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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