for Sunday, 03 August 2014 [7:58 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
SUPER TYPHOON HALONG (JOSE) UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Sunday 03 August 2014
Next Update: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Sunday 03 August 2014
The strong typhoon (Halong) which has been moving slowly westward over the waters west of Guam has rapidly intensified into a Super Typhoon as it entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...and is now over the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea. The howler is now locally named "JOSE."
This intense typhoon will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional to frequent rains, and thunderstorms with gusty winds (not exceeding 70 kph) across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, and some portions of Western and Central Luzon including Metro Manila through Tuesday. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands, and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of STY Halong (Jose).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: STY Halong (Jose)
Location: Over the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.1N 134.0E)
About: 1,070 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,280 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 240 kph near the center...Gustiness: 295 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 300 to 500 mm [Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Size (in diameter): 665 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 130 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: West @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest to Northwest @ 15 kph
Towards: Okinawa-Ryukyus Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
STY Halong (Jose) is expected to turn slowly west-northwest to northwest during the next 24 to 48 hours...and will be turning poleward (north) through the rest of the forecast period. On the forecast track, Halong (Jose) will just be over the open waters of the North Philippine Sea as it heads towards Okinawa-Ryukyus Area through Tuesday morning.
Halong (Jose) will maintain its strength within the next 12 hours...before it starts to weaken slowly throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 225 kph by Tuesday early morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts losing strength as it turns WNW to NW towards the North Philippine Sea...about 1,015 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora [2AM AUG 04: 16.5N 131.6E @ 230kph].
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to slightly weaken while over the North Philippine Sea...turns NW to NNW...about 810 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan [2AM AUG 05: 18.4N 129.8E @ 225kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further as it turns northerly towards Okinawa-Ryukyus...about 800 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM AUG 06: 21.8N 129.6E @ 205kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Aug 03, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 15.1º N Lat 134.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 1060 km ENE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1135 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 3: 1175 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 4: 1320 km ESE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1420 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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