Monday, August 04, 2014

Super Typhoon HALONG (JOSE) Update #003


for Monday, 04 August 2014 [8:10 AM PhT]


Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Monday 04 August 2014
Next Update: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Monday 04 August 2014

Super Typhoon HALONG (JOSE) has weakened slightly while moving across the Philippine Sea...should start to take a more northerly track later today and head towards the Southern Islands of Japan.

This intense typhoon will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional to frequent rains, and thunderstorms with gusty winds (not exceeding 65 kph) across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, and some portions of Western and Central Luzon including Metro Manila through Wednesday. 
The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands, and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of STY Halong (Jose).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.



As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: STY Halong (Jose)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 16.3N 131.0E)
About: 950 km east of Casiguran, Aurora...or 1,000 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 225 kph near the center...Gustiness: 275 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Size (in diameter): 815 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 110 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 15 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest to North-Northwest @ 11 kph
Towards: Okinawa-Ryukyus Area


STY Halong (Jose) is expected to turn slowly northwest to north-northwestward during the next 24 hours...veering to the north through 48 hours. On the forecast track, Halong (Jose) will just be moving across the open waters of the North Philippine Sea as it heads towards Okinawa-Ryukyus Area through early Wednesday morning.

Halong (Jose) will continue to weaken slowly throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 180 kph by early Wednesday morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to lose strength as it turns NNW towards the North Philippine Sea...about 845 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan [2AM AUG 05: 18.4N 130.2E @ 200kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to slightly weaken while over the North Philippine Sea...veers Northward...about 825 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM AUG 06: 21.4N 129.9E @ 180kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further as it approaches Okinawa-Ryukyus Area...about 320 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan [2AM AUG 07: 24.5N 130.1E @ 170kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Aug 04, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 16.3º N Lat 131.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 770 km ENE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 920 km ESE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 3: 965 km ESE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 1060 km SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 1180 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for









>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

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