for Sunday, 03 August 2014 [7:58 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
SUPER TYPHOON HALONG (JOSE) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Sunday 03 August 2014
Next Update: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Monday 04 August 2014
Super Typhoon HALONG (JOSE) has started turning west-northwestward while over the eastern portion of the Philippine Sea...with no change in strength.
This intense typhoon will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional to frequent rains, and thunderstorms with gusty winds (not exceeding 65 kph) across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, and some portions of Western and Central Luzon including Metro Manila through Tuesday. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands, and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of STY Halong (Jose).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: STY Halong (Jose)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.7N 132.5E)
About: 925 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,115 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 240 kph near the center...Gustiness: 295 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 450 mm [Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Size (in diameter): 720 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 110 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest to Northwest @ 13 kph
Towards: Okinawa-Ryukyus Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
STY Halong (Jose) is expected to turn slowly northwest to north-northwestward during the next 24 to 48 hours. On the forecast track, Halong (Jose) will just be over the open waters of the North Philippine Sea as it heads towards Okinawa-Ryukyus Area through Tuesday afternoon.
Halong (Jose) will start to weaken slowly throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 200 kph by Tuesday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Starts losing strength as it turns NW towards the North Philippine Sea...about 870 km east of Palanan, Isabela [2PM AUG 04: 17.2N 130.6E @ 215kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to slightly weaken while over the North Philippine Sea...turns NNW...about 795 km east of Basco, Batanes [2PM AUG 05: 20.1N 129.6E @ 200kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it turns northerly towards Okinawa-Ryukyus...about 410 km south-southeast of Okinawa, Japan [2PM AUG 06: 23.2N 129.6E @ 190kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Aug 03, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 15.7º N Lat 132.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 910 km ENE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1025 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 1085 km ESE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 4: 1140 km ESE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1295 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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