Saturday, July 19, 2008

Typhoon KALMAEGI (HELEN) - Final Update


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007 **FINAL** 
Name: TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI [HELEN/08W/0807] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 19 JULY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #019
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI (HELEN) HAS MADE ITS 2ND LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CHINA LAST NIGHT...NOW DISSIPATING OVER ZHEJIANG PROVINCE. WINDS AND RAINS
CONTINUES OVER FUJIAN AND ZHEJIANG PROVINCES OF CHINA.

*THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KALMAEGI is expected to move NNW across Zhejiang
Province and dissipate.  

+ EFFECTS: KALMAEGI's circulation is now well over Zhejiang and Fujian
Provinces bringing moderate to heavy rains...likely to dissipate within
the next 12 to 24 hours. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher
grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy
rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be
initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITYSouthwest (SW) Monsoon currently enhanced
by TS KALMAEGI (HELEN) prevailing across Northern part of South China
Sea, Taiwan Strait, Southern China & Taiwan. Partly Cloudy to Cloudy
skies with possible light to moderate passing rains w/ at times heavy
downpour & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected. Land-
slides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep
mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas
of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 19 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.8º N...LONGITUDE 119.6º
DISTANCE 1: 110 KM (60
NM) WSW OF WENZHOU, CHINA 
DISTANCE 2: 415 KM (225 NM) SSW OF SHANGHAI, CHINA 
DISTANCE 3: 190 KM (102 NM) NNE OF FUZHOU, CHINA
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 09 KM/HR (05 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG PROVINCE, CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: -- FEET (-.- METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME SAT JULY 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 12 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None

12 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 JULY: 28.9N 119.7E / 35-55 KPH / NNW @ 09 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 JULY POSITION: 27.5N 119.6E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KALMAEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 08W MADE LANDFALL AT 18/10Z ABOUT
30 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LUOYUAN (588460), CHINA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
FROM LUOYUAN AND SURROUNDING SITES (LISHUI, RUIAN, FUDING, JIAN'OU,
PUCHENG) INDICATE MINIMUM SLP NEAR 997.1 MB AND SURFACE WINDS LESS
THAN 20 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AS 30-35 KNOTS AND
IS BASED PRIMARILY ON THE MINIMUM SLP, WHICH EQUATES TO ROUGHLY 34
KNOTS, AND THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.
TS 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD OVER LAND FOR AT
LEAST 24 HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DECAY AND IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY
THAT THE REMNANTS WILL DEVELOP INTO A MIDLATITUDE LOW AND TRACK OVER
THE COOLER WATERS OF THE WEST SEA AFTER 24-36 HOURS, HOWEVER, THE
SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY TO REGENERATE AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM DUE TO
COOL SST (< 25C) AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A
MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AND WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER KOREA. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
..
(more)

>> KALMAEGI {pronounced: kal~meegi}, meaning: Seagull
   
Name contributed by: DPR Korea.

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________


RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS KALMAEGI (HELEN)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
MARKETPLACE
Blockbuster is giving away a free trial of Blockbuster Total Access to smart movie lovers like you.
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
Yahoo! Groups

Familyographer Zone

Learn how to take

great pictures.

Popular Y! Groups

Is your group one?

Check it out and

see.

Health Groups

for people over 40

Join people who are

staying in shape.

.

__,_._,___

No comments: