Sunday, July 27, 2008

Typhoon FUNG-WONG (IGME) now at Category 2... [Update #008]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TYPHOON FUNG-WONG [IGME/09W/0808] 
Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) SUN 27 JULY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 012
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
FUNG-WONG (IGME) STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY TWO TYPHOON...TURNS NORTH-
WESTWARD AS IT INCHES CLOSER TO TAIWAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FUNG-WONG is expected to continue moving NW-ward
for the next 24 hours and intensify - reaching Category 3 status w/
forecast wind speed of 185 km/hr prior to landfall. The EYE shall
pass more or less 200 km to the north of Batanes early tomorrow
morning and make landfall over Eastern Taiwan passing close to the
south of Hualien City by tomorrow morning, approx 9-10 AM Manila
Time. The core (eye & eyewall) shall cross the mountainous terrain
of Taiwan tomorrow afternoon and move out into Taiwan Strait tomo-
rrow evening. FUNG-WONG shall make its final landfall along the
Southeastern Coast of China approx 3-4 AM Tuesday (Jul 29) as a
weakened Category 1 Typhoon. The 2 to 4-day medium-range forecast
shows the system tracking NNW-ward overland, across the rugged
terrain of Fujian Province of China throughout Wednesday (July 30).
Complete dissipation is forecast over Zhejiang Province, China on
Thursday, July 31st. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There is a
possibilty that FUNG-WONG may turn poleward (Northward)
skirting
Northern Taiwan, if the High Pressure Steering Ridge to
its
North-NNE weakens
.  

+ EFFECTS: FUNG-WONG's strong spiral-cloud circulation continues to
improve over the Northern Philippine Sea, with the formation of a
large ragged Eye. Its western & southwesternmost outer rain bands
continues to spread across Extreme Northern Luzon and has reached
the whole of Taiwan. Rains and winds not in excess of 60 km/hr can
be expected along these bands. Typhoon conditions can be expected
tonight and tomorrow across Taiwan as the inner bands, eyewall and
eye approaches. Strong winds not exceeding 200 km/hr with up to 400
mm of total rainfall is likely to affect Taiwan and Taiwan Strait
tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher grounds for
possible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains
brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initia-
ted if necessary. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 6 to 8 feet above
normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
can be expected near and to the north on where the center makes
landfall in Eastern Taiwan. Moderate damage is possible on this
type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible along
coastal areas of Southeastern China, Extreme Northern Luzon with
surf reaching 4 feet at most.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon being enhanced
by Typhoon FUNG-WONG (IGME) will continue to affect Luzon and Western
Visayas...becoming more intense along Metro Manila & Western Luzon.
Partly Cloudy to Cloudy skies with possible light to moderate passing
rains w/ at times heavy downpour & strong SW'ly winds not exceeding
50 km/hr can be expected. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding
is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 27 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 22.4º N...LONGITUDE 123.6º
DISTANCE 1: 270 KM (145
NM) NE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH 
DISTANCE 2: 270 KM (145 NM) SE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN 
DISTANCE 3: 355 KM (192 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN 
DISTANCE 4: 485 KM (262 NM) NNE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN  
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2) 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 959 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 890 KM (480 NM)/LARGE-VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 30 FEET (9.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME SUN JULY 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - BATANES, CALAYAN & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#02 - NORTHERN CAGAYAN, APAYAO & ILOCOS NORTE.
#01 - REST OF CAGAYAN, KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, ILOCOS SUR, 
      IFUGAO, BENGUET, LA UNION, PANGASINAN, ZAMBALES, & BATAAN.


12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 JULY: 23.1N 122.5E / 175-215 KPH / NW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 JULY: 24.2N 121.1E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 JULY: 26.4N 118.6E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY: 28.7N 117.2E / 65-85 KPH / NNW @ 09 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 27 JULY POSITION: 22.1N 124.0E.
^TYPHOON (TY) FUNG-WONG HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND HIGH OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT AND CONTINUED TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS. A DEVELOPING EYE FEATURE IS NOW EVIDENT IN
BOTH MICROWAVE AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
...
(more)

>> FUNG-WONG {pronounced: fang~wang}, meaning: Phoenix (Name of Peak)
   
Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.

_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 27 JULY: 22.4N 123.7E / NW @ 15 KPH / 130 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________


RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY FUNG-WONG (IGME)...go visit
our website @:

>
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