Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon FUNG-WONG (IGME)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006

Name: TYPHOON FUNG-WONG [IGME/09W/0808]

Issued: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) SUN 27 JULY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 010
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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FUNG-WONG (IGME) BECOMES THE 7TH TYPHOON OF THE 2008 SEASON...STILL

INTENSIFYING AS IT INCHES CLOSER TO BATANES-TAIWAN AREA...OUTER BANDS

AFFECTING EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FUNG-WONG is expected to turn WNW to NW-ward for

the next 12 to 24 hours and intensify - reaching forecast wind speed

of 175 km/hr. The EYE shall pass to the north of Batanes early tomo-

rrow and shall make landfall over Eastern Taiwan passing close to the

south of Hualien City by tomorrow afternoon, approx 2 PM Manila Time.

The 2 to 4-day medium-range forecast shows the system tracking WNW to

NW-ward, across Central Taiwan Monday evening & shall move out into

Taiwan Strait on early Tuesday morning, July 29. FUNG-WONG shall make

its final landfall over Southeastern China Tuesday afternoon & cross

the rugged terrain of Fujian Province thru Wednesday (July 30).

Complete dissipation is forecast over Zhejiang Province, China on

Thursday morning, July 31st. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There is
a possibilty that FUNG-WONG may continue tracking Westward and cross

the Batanes Group of Islands or make landfall over Southern Taiwan,

if the High Pressure Steering Ridge to its NNE strengthens.

+ EFFECTS: FUNG-WONG's strong spiral-cloud circulation continues to

expand & improve over the Northern Philippine Sea. Its western &

southwestern outer rain bands continues to spread across Extreme

Northern Luzon. Rains and winds of not in excess of 60 km/hr can be

expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas must seek

higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the anti-

cipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary

measures must be initiated if necessary. Coastal Storm Surge floo-

ding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and

dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north on

where the center makes landfall in Eastern Taiwan. Minimal damage

is possible on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge

is possible along coastal areas of Southeastern China, Extreme

Northern Luzon with surf reaching 3 feet at most.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon being en-

hanced by Typhoon FUNG-WONG (IGME), continues to affect Luzon and

Western Visayas including Metro Manila. Partly Cloudy to Cloudy

skies with possible light to moderate passing rains w/ at times

heavy downpour & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected.

Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along

steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone

areas of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 27 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 21.2º N...LONGITUDE 125.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 340 KM (185 NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH

DISTANCE 2: 480 KM (258 NM) NE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH

DISTANCE 3: 485 KM (262 NM) SE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN

DISTANCE 4: 560 KM (303 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 970 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 890 KM (480 NM)/LARGE-VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 23 FEET (7.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME SUN JULY 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - BATANES, CALAYAN & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#02 - CAGAYAN, APAYAO & ILOCOS NORTE.
#01 - KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, ILOCOS SUR, IFUGAO,
BENGUET, LA UNION & PANGASINAN.

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 JULY: 21.6N 124.2E / 150-185 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 28 JULY: 22.4N 122.8E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 15 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 29 JULY: 24.8N 120.0E / 130-160 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 JULY: 26.9N 118.6E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 09 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 27 JULY POSITION: 21.1N 125.6E.
^TYPHOON (TY) FUNG-WONG HAS INTENSIFIED CONSERVATIVELY CRESTING
TYPHOON CLASSIFICATION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS DESPITE BEING UNDER
MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE STORM HAS TRACKED
GENERALLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL EXTENSION OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THAT HAS CONTINUED TO BUILD TO THE NORTH
OF THE SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH TROUGHING TO THE WEST OF JAPAN HAS CON-
TRIBUTED TO VERY WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW, THE PRIMARY EXHAUST
MECHANISM HAS BEEN BROAD-SCALE NORTHEASERLY DIFFLUENCE WORKING IN
TANDEEM WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL
LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM, WITH BOTH AVENUES VENTING
EQUATORWARD. THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS PROGRESSED EASTWARD AND HAS
ALLOWED FOR THE MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM TO
BUILD AND ADVANCE WESTWARD...(more)

>> FUNG-WONG {pronounced: fang~wang}, meaning: Phoenix (Name of Peak).
Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 4 AM (20 GMT) 27 JULY: 21.2N 125.3E / W @ 11 KPH / 120 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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