Saturday, July 26, 2008

TS FUNG-WONG (IGME) nears Batanes-Taiwan... [Update #004]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG [IGME/09W/0808] 
Issued: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) SAT 26 JULY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 007
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (IGME) REACHES 100 KM/HR...MAY LIKELY BECOME
A TYPHOON TONIGHT OR TOMORROW...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD CLOSER TO
BATANES GROUP-TAIWAN AREA...THREATENS EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FUNG-WONG is expected to resume moving Westward for
the next 24 hours and shall become a Typhoon tomorrow morning. The 2 to
5-day long-range forecast shows the system turning WNW to NW-ward, rea-
ching Category 2 monday morning (165 km/hr) while passing to the North
of Batanes Group. FUNG-WONG shall make landfall over Eastern Taiwan,
near or over Hualien City Monday afternoon & shall cross Central Taiwan
in the early evening. It shall move out into Taiwan Strait on early
Tuesday morning, July 29, as a weakened Tropical Storm. FUNG-WONG shall
make its final landfall off Southeastern China Tuesday afternoon and
cross the rugged terrain of Fujian-Zhejiang Province thru Wednesday
(July 30). Complete dissipation is forecast over Zhejiang Province,
China on early Thursday morning, July 31. *Alternate Forecast Scenario:
There is a possibilty that FUNG-WONG may continue tracking WSW to
Westward and cross the Batanes Group of Islands or make landfall over
Southern Taiwan, if the High Pressure Steering Ridge to its NW
strengthens & become the dominant steering factor.  

+ EFFECTS: FUNG-WONG's strong spiral-cloud circulation continues to
swirl & improve over the Northern Philippine Sea. This storm is not
yet affecting any land mass, but its western outer bands may start
to spread across Extreme Northern Luzon beginning tonight or
tomorrow.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon is now being
enhanced by TS FUNG-WONG (IGME) and has started to affect the whole
of Visayas and Southern Bicol Region. The monsoon is likely to reach
the rest of Bicol, Southern Luzon, Mindoro & Metro Manila late to-
night or tomorrow. Partly Cloudy to Cloudy skies with possible light
to moderate passing rains w/ at times heavy downpour & SW'ly winds
not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected. Landslides, mudflows (lahars)
and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes,
river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting the rest of the Phili-
ppines bringing scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially
in the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 26 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.4º N...LONGITUDE 127.4º
DISTANCE 1: 570 KM (308
NM) SSW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN 
DISTANCE 2: 570 KM (308 NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH 
DISTANCE 3: 685 KM (370 NM) NE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 715 KM (385 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN  
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 982 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 AM MANILA TIME SAT JULY 26
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#01 - CALAYAN & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 26 JULY: 21.3N 126.1E / 110-140 KPH / W @ 11 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 27 JULY: 21.5N 124.8E / 130-160 KPH / WNW @ 09 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 28 JULY: 22.8N 122.4E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 15 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 29 JULY: 25.3N 119.9E / 110-140 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 26 JULY POSITION: 21.5N 127.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) FUNG-WONG HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS WHILE TRACKING GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG
A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE EXTENSION ON THE POLEWARD
SIDE OF THE STORM. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
CONSOLIDATED, AND SEVERAL RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASSES HINT
AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW LEVEL EYE FEATURE
...
(more)

>> FUNG-WONG {pronounced: fang~wang}, meaning: Phoenix (Name of Peak)
   
Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.

_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
 
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 26 JULY: 21.5N 127.4E / W @ 15 KPH / 105 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________


RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS FUNG-WONG (IGME)...go visit
our website @:

>
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