Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS SAOMAI (08W) moving fast towards Philippine Sea...[Update #03]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #03

Name: TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI [08W/0608]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 06 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 07 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #007
_______________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI (08W) NOW A 100-KM/HR SYSTEM...
STILL TRACKING ON A FAST NORTHWEST DIRECTION...EX-
PECTED TO ENTER THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
(PAR) TOMORROW EVENING.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SAOMAI is expected to become a Ty-
phoon early tomorrow morning and shall continue moving
NW'ly for the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day long-range
forecast (Aug 9-11) shows SAOMI reaching peak winds of
almost 200 km/hr around Wednesday & Thursday afternoon.
The system shall turn more to the West and pass over
Yaeyama Islands or in between Okinawa and Taiwan Thurs-
day afternoon (Aug 10). It shall make landfall along
the Zhejiang-Fujian border in Southeastern China Friday
noontime (Aug 11).

+ EFFECTS: SAOMAI's circulation is now over the open
waters of the Western Pacific, but still affecting Guam
and the Marianas with its Outer Bands. These bands may
still bring cloudy skies with some moderate to heavy
rains and gale-force winds reaching 55 km/hr or less.
Residents living along the river banks, steep mountain
slopes and low-lying areas are advised to stay alert
and foresee evacuation in case of possible flashfloods
and mudslides. Hazardous ocean surf of up to 9 feet to
12 feet today and continue at hazardous levels tomorrow
Monday (Aug 7). Improving weather conditions can be
expected tomorrow as SAOMAI continues to move farther
away from the Marianas.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest Monsoon
currently bringing cloudy skies with widespread rains
and isolated thunderstorms across Western Micronesia
(Palau, Yap, Ulithi, etc).

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Tropical Storm MARIA (09W)
moving away from Iwo Jima and Bonin Islands...threa-
tens Shikoku & Honshu (Japan). Current position: 27.8N
141.1E or approx 995 km SE of Kochi, Japan,..Max sus-
tained winds is at 110 km/hr...moving NW at 24 km/hr.
Forecast to reach make landfall Tuesday afternoon along
Shikoku-Honshu Area. Residents along those areas must
take precautionary measures.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 06 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.8º N...LONGITUDE 142.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 340 KM (183 NM) WNW OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 2: 365 KM (197 NM) NW OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 800 KM (432 NM) EAST OF P.A.R.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 984 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 26 KM/HR (14 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN-RYUKYU AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVERAGE/LARGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST SUN AUGUST 06
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 17.3N 141.0E / 120-150 KPH

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 19.1N 139.1E / 140-165 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 21.7N 134.7E / 175-215 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 15.3N 143.0E.
^CURRENT SATELLITE AND RADAR FIXES SHOW BETTER AGREEMENT
THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. BOTH SETS OF FIXES REVEAL THAT
THE FORWARD SPEED OF TS SAOMAI HAS INCREASED OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA
REVEAL THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE WEST AND
SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, ANA-
LYSIS OF LATEST QUIKSCAT IMAGE REVEALS ENHANCED WINDS TO
THE EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...(more info)

>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet
Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
_________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh...noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the TS SAOMAI (08W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm