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Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #14
Name: TYPHOON CHANCHU [CALOY/02W/0601]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 15 MAY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 16 MAY 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #027
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Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 16 MAY 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #027
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON CHANCHU (CALOY) WEAKENS INTO A 220-KM/HR HOWLER, BUT STILL
A DESTRUCTIVE CATEGORY FOUR TYPHOON...NOW TAKES A DANGEROUS NORTH-
WARD PATH TOWARDS HONG KONG, CHINA.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: The core of CHANCHU is expected to weaken slowly
while continuing moving Northward across the South China Sea. This
large typhoon is forecast to make landfall some 30 km. to the east
of Hong Kong around 12 AM HK Time Thursday, May 18. Hong Kong
residents are advised to take precautionary measures and continue
monitoring the progress of this Category 4 typhoon...mapping out
disaster preparedness plans during CHANCHU's approach is necessary
to avoid loss of lives and properties.
+ EFFECTS: CHANCHU's large core (eye + eyewall) continues to swirl
over the warm waters of the South China Sea with its outer rainbands
still covering the entire South China Sea and affecting Palawan
Island in Western Philippines. These rainbands will continue to
bring moderate to heavy rainfall with moderate to strong winds, and
could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides along
river banks, low-lying areas and mountain slopes over the affected
areas. Residents residing along the coastal beachfront areas of
Palawan, Western Luzon & Western Visayas are advised to seek higher
grounds due to possible high waves from the sea. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding from 13 to 18 feet can be expected along the path of
CHANCHU advising all sea vessels to remain at port and avoid
passing over it.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: This storm is still enhancing the
Southwest Monsoon bringing moderate to heavy rains along Western
sections of the Philippines. These rains may produce life-
threatening flash floods and mudslides along river banks, low-
lying areas and mountain slopes of the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity changes every 06 to 12 hours!
WARD PATH TOWARDS HONG KONG, CHINA.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: The core of CHANCHU is expected to weaken slowly
while continuing moving Northward across the South China Sea. This
large typhoon is forecast to make landfall some 30 km. to the east
of Hong Kong around 12 AM HK Time Thursday, May 18. Hong Kong
residents are advised to take precautionary measures and continue
monitoring the progress of this Category 4 typhoon...mapping out
disaster preparedness plans during CHANCHU's approach is necessary
to avoid loss of lives and properties.
+ EFFECTS: CHANCHU's large core (eye + eyewall) continues to swirl
over the warm waters of the South China Sea with its outer rainbands
still covering the entire South China Sea and affecting Palawan
Island in Western Philippines. These rainbands will continue to
bring moderate to heavy rainfall with moderate to strong winds, and
could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides along
river banks, low-lying areas and mountain slopes over the affected
areas. Residents residing along the coastal beachfront areas of
Palawan, Western Luzon & Western Visayas are advised to seek higher
grounds due to possible high waves from the sea. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding from 13 to 18 feet can be expected along the path of
CHANCHU advising all sea vessels to remain at port and avoid
passing over it.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: This storm is still enhancing the
Southwest Monsoon bringing moderate to heavy rains along Western
sections of the Philippines. These rains may produce life-
threatening flash floods and mudslides along river banks, low-
lying areas and mountain slopes of the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 15 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.2º N...LONGITUDE 115.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 640 KM (345 NM) WNW OF METRO MANILA, PH
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 15 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.2º N...LONGITUDE 115.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 640 KM (345 NM) WNW OF METRO MANILA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 525 KM (283 NM) WEST OF IBA, ZAMBALES, PH
DISTANCE 3: 795 KM (340 NM) SSE OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 220 KM/HR (120 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 270 KM/HR (145 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 922 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 40 FEET (12.1 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY 4
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HONG KONG AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,110 KM (600 NM)/VERY LARGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MON MAY 15
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 270 KM/HR (145 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 922 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 40 FEET (12.1 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY 4
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HONG KONG AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,110 KM (600 NM)/VERY LARGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MON MAY 15
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE
09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 16 MAY: 16.2N 114.9E / 215-260 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 16 MAY: 17.7N 114.7E / 215-260 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 MAY POSITION: 14.8N 115.2E.
^ TY CHANCHU HAD CONTINUED TO SLOWLY TRACK WESTWARD
AND IS JUST NOW STARTING TO SHIFT POLEWARD IN RESPONSE
TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE STEE-
RING RIDGE (SHPSR) ANCHORED OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SHPSR AND IS FORECAST TO
MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. TY CHANCHU
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CHINA AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL BY
96 HOURS...(more info)
>> CHANCHU {pronounced: chan~chu}, meaning: Pearl, a smooth,
rounded lustrous deposit formed in the shells of certain
oysters and is often used for jewelry. Many Macau souvenirs
are made of it. Name contributed by: Macau, China
_______________________________________________________________________
09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 16 MAY: 16.2N 114.9E / 215-260 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 16 MAY: 17.7N 114.7E / 215-260 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 MAY POSITION: 14.8N 115.2E.
^ TY CHANCHU HAD CONTINUED TO SLOWLY TRACK WESTWARD
AND IS JUST NOW STARTING TO SHIFT POLEWARD IN RESPONSE
TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE STEE-
RING RIDGE (SHPSR) ANCHORED OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SHPSR AND IS FORECAST TO
MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. TY CHANCHU
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CHINA AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL BY
96 HOURS...(more info)
>> CHANCHU {pronounced: chan~chu}, meaning: Pearl, a smooth,
rounded lustrous deposit formed in the shells of certain
oysters and is often used for jewelry. Many Macau souvenirs
are made of it. Name contributed by: Macau, China
_______________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 MAY: 14.8N 115.2E / NNW @ 13 KPH / 150 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:
_______________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:
_______________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the
highest. Red letters indicate new areas being hoisted. For more
explanations on these signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on
this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srhnoaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
T2K Mobile: receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more,
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 386 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Powered by: Synermaxx
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on the TY CHANCHU (CALOY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
highest. Red letters indicate new areas being hoisted. For more
explanations on these signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on
this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srhnoaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
T2K Mobile: receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more,
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 386 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Powered by: Synermaxx
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on the TY CHANCHU (CALOY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
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