for Monday, 30 September 2013 [10:40 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON WUTIP (PAOLO) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Monday 30 September 2013
Typhoon WUTIP (PAOLO) has regained strength as it accelerated and made landfall over the coast of Central Vietnam. Stormy weather is now prevailing over Central Vietnam and Central Laos.
Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 95W has strengthened into a Tropical Depression 22W [QUEDAN] as it moves generally northward across the Philippine Sea. Its center was located about 875 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Samar (13.2N Lat 133.3E Lon)...with maximum winds of 45 km/hr near the center. It is moving north to north-northwest at 13 kph across the Philippine Sea...and is not a threat to the Philippines.
*This is the last and final update on Wutip (Paolo) as it is expected to weaken rapidly upon traversing the rugged terrain of Laos.
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 pm today, the eye of TY Wutip (Paolo) was located over the shore of Central Vietnam...about 150 km southeast of Vinh, Vietnam or 170 km northwest of Hue, Vietnam...currently moving west with rapid forward speed of 37 km/hr across Central Vietnam.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 165 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 45 kilometers from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 185 kilometers. Wutip (Paolo) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 555 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of WUTIP (Paolo) is estimated to be heavy (200 mm).
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Wutip (Paolo) is expected to move westward during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Wutip (Paolo) will rapidly traverse the rugged terrain of Laos tonight and will move along the northeastern border of Thailand through Tuesday.
TY Wutip (Paolo) will rapidly lose strength during the next 24 hours...and will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm (TS) on Tuesday afternoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 km/hr on Wednesday early morning.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens to a Tropical Storm (TS) after moving along the northeastern border of Thailand...about 150 km west-southwest of Vientiane, Laos [5PM OCT 01: 17.8N 101.2E @ 75kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
CLOUD-FILLED EYE - Over Central Vietnam. Possible calm and lull conditions (with <20 kph winds) will be expected inside the eye (click here to know more about the EYE).
EYEWALL - where Typhoon Conditions with Typhoon Force Winds (>118 kph) will be expected within this wall. Affected Areas: Central Vietnam. (click here to know more about the Eyewall).
INNER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-100 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Central Vietnam and eastern parts of Central Laos.
OUTER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Central Laos and Eastern Thailand. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
<24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (heavy) along areas near the center of Wutip (Paolo).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon Sep 30, 2013
Class/Name: TY Wutip (Paolo)
Location of Eye: Near 17.6º N Lat 106.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 150 km SE of Vinh, Vietnam
Distance 2: 170 km NW of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 3: 245 km NW of Da Nanag, Vietnam
Distance 4: 220 km SE of Thai Hoa, Vietnam
Distance 5: 415 km ESE of Vientiane, Laos
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 165 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 205 kph
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 2
Present Movement: W @ 37 kph
Towards: Central Laos
24hr Rainfall Accum (Near the Center): Heavy [200 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 555 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 feet
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY WUTIP (PAOLO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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