for Tuesday, 29 October 2013 [7:55 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (VINTA) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tuesday 29 October 2013
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wednesday 30 October 2013
Tropical Depression 29W (VINTA) has maintained its strength as it slowed down and continues to move across the Philippine Sea. It remains a threat to Northern and Central Luzon.
This depression will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing sunny to cloudy conditions w/ passing slight to moderate rains and gusty winds along the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and Northern Visayas beginning today through Thursday.
Residents and visitors along Luzon and Northern Visayas should closely monitor the development of TD 29W (Vinta).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 pm today, the center of TD 29W (Vinta) was located over the eastern part of the Central Philippine Sea...about 940 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or 1,135 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora...currently moving west-northwest with a decreased forward speed of 17 km/hr towards Northern Luzon.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have remained at 55 km/hr near the center with higher gusts.
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD 29W (Vinta) is expected to maintain a generally west-northward movement throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD 29W (Vinta) will move across the Central Philippine Sea by Wednesday afternoon...and will be making landfall just to the north of Palanan Bay, Isabela by Thursday morning...and will be over Northern Luzon by Thursday afternoon
TD 29W (Vinta) will continue to gain strength through the next 24 t0 36 hours...and could become a Tropical Storm (TS) later today. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to Typhoon intensity of 120 km/hr on Thursday morning.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system:
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
DEVELOPING RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Eastern part of the Central Philippine Sea (click here to know more about Rainbands).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Oct 29, 2013
Class/Name: TD 29W (Vinta)
Location of Center: Near 15.5º N Lat 132.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 940 km ENE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1,110 km ESE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 3: 1,135 km ESE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 4: 1,260 km ENE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph
Present Movement: WNW @ 17 kph
Towards: Northern Luzon
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 29W (VINTA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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