Saturday, May 24, 2008

T2K Philippine Tropical Outlook [for week May 26-June 01, 2008]


Typhoon2000 Philippine Tropical Outlook
For Week: MAY 26-JUNE 01, 2008 [MONDAY TO SUNDAY] 
Issued: 8:00 AM MANILA TIME (00:00 GMT) SAT 24 MAY 2008
Next Update: 8:00 AM (00:00 GMT) SAT 31 MAY

[1] An increased chance of below-average rainfall across South China Sea
and Philippines.
Dry conditions are expected due to the weak phase of MJO.
Numerical Global Forecast also depicts this kind of situation.
Confidence: MODERATE.

[2] Formation of a significant Tropical Cyclone over the Northern or North-
eastern Philippine Sea is possible between May 29 to June 02.
Some global
models are showing the existence of this tropical system developing over the
Western Pacific Ocean between latitudes 18-25 and longitudes 133-140.
Confidence: LOW.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above weekly tropical forecast outlook, does
not guarantee 100% accuracy! Errors & changes can happen 
within the designated outlook week.

> This outlook is issued for planners every Saturday except during
  presence of Tropical Cyclones within the Philippine Area of Res-
  ponsibility (PAR).

> The next outlook will 
be issued on Saturday, May 31, 2008.

Sources: NOAA Global Benefits/Hazards Assessment & Various Numerical Computer Models
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

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