Sunday, August 19, 2007

TY SEPAT (EGAY) off Taiwan Strait... [Update #012]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #012
Name: TYPHOON SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 18 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 19 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #025
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON SEPAT (EGAY) WEAKENS FURTHER AND IS NOW OFF THE
STRAIT OF TAIWAN AFTER POUNDING TAIWAN THIS MORNING...
JUST BARELY A CATEGORY 2...TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTH-
EASTERN CHINA LATE TONIGHT. 

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: Later tonight or early tomorrow mor-
ning, SEPAT will make its last and final landfall over
Southeastern China, passing very close to the north of
Xiamen City as Category 1 Typhoon. SEPAT shall dissipate
over the mountainous region of China early Monday morning

+ EFFECTS: SEPAT's weakened core (eyewall & eye)
is now over Taiwan Strait and shall bring typhoon-force
winds with moderate to heavy rains over SE China late
tonight. Meanwhile, its inner rainbands remains over the
rest of Taiwan and across the coastal areas of Southeastern
China - stormy conditions will continue to prevail through
the evening. SEPAT's outer rainbands on the other hand,
continues to spread across Babuyan, Batanes & Calayan Group
of Islands and inland portions of Southeastern & Southern
China. Cloudy skies with passing occasionally light & mode-
rate to sometimes heavy rainfall and strong winds of up to
60 km/hr can be expected along these bands. Coastal Storm
Surge flooding of 06 to 08 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expec-
ted near and to the north of SEPAT's projected path particu-
larly along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Southeastern
China. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river
banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected
areas. Precautionary measures must be initiated as the
powerful system moves closer
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
remains strong as it continues to be enhanced (pulled)
by SEPAT. Cloudy skies with light to moderate & sometimes
heavy rainfall & SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or higher can
be expected today along Luzon - becoming more frequent &
intense over the Western sections of Luzon including
Bataan, Ilocos Provinces, La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales,
Benguet, Tarlac & Pampanga. Mudslides and flooding is
likely along river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas
of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 18 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.2º N...LONGITUDE 119.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 485 KM (262
NM) NW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 215 KM (115 NM) WNW OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 195 KM (105 NM) NNW OF KAOSHIUNG, TAIWAN 
DISTANCE 4: 230 KM (125 NM) WSW OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 5: 150 KM (80 NM) ESE OF XIAMEN, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 959 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 28 KM/HR (15 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHEASTERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME SAT AUGUST 18
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS, BABUYAN & CALAYAN 
      ISLANDS & ILOCOS NORTE. 
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 AUGUST: 24.9N 118.6E / 140-165 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 AUGUST: 26.0N 117.5E / 95-120 KPH / NNW @ 09 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 18 AUGUST POSITION: 24.0N 119.8E.
^
...(more)

>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish 
   with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
   areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed 
   by:
Malaysia.

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 18 AUGUST: 24.1N 119.7E / NW @ 11 KPH / 120 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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