Friday, August 31, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #002


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 31 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SAT 01 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON FITOW (10W) HAS TURNED NORTHWEST AS IT REACHED
WIND SPEED OF 150-KM/HR...THREATENS JAPAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to continue on its
WNW track in response to a building high pressure steering
ridge situated to the North of Fitow, or just to the East
of Japan. The 2 to 5-day forecast shows the system conti-
nuing moving WNW in the direction of Japan, turning NW'ly
on Tuesday afternoon (Sep 4). It shall reach Category 3
status (205 km/hr) on Wednesday afternoon Sep 5. Initial
Impact Forecast (IIF) calls for a Southern Honshu landfall
on Sep 6

+ EFFECTS: FITOW's rainbands continues to affect the tiny
island of Marcus. Increasing winds with rains will continue
to prevail over the island tonight. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding of 04 to 05 feet above normal tide levels...along
with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected
near and to the north of FITOW's projected path particu-
larly along Marcus Island.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The new Tropical Disturbance
(LPA/1008 MB) over the South China Sea, or just to the
West of Subic Bay, PH has been drifting Southward during
the past 6 hours and continues to organize. It was estima-
ted about 325 km West of Quezon City (14.7N 118.0E). With
sustained winds of 30 km/hr, this system is showing signs
of developing into a Tropical Depression (TD). Provinces
of Pangasinan, Zambales, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bataan and
Metro Manila can expect rains and thunderstorms tonight
or tomorrow due to its developing outer bands. More up-
dates soon as the system continues to develop. Kindly
check out the latest zoomed satellite pic here.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 31 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.3º N...LONGITUDE 154.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 370 KM (202
NM) NNW OF MARCUS ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 1,335 KM (720 NM) ENE OF IWO TO
DISTANCE 3: 1,675 KM (903 NM) SE OF TOKYO
DISTANCE 4: 3,460 KM (1,867 NM) ENE OF LUZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 24 FEET (7.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JAPAN TIME FRI AUGUST 31
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 27.8N 153.3E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 151.8E / 165-205 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 SEPTEMBER: 28.9N 148.7E / 175-215 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 AUGUST POSITION: 27.1N 154.8E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 10W (FITOW) HAS TAKEN A SHARP WESTWARD TURN
DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SLOWED SLIGHTLY, WITH WEAK SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST NOW PROVIDING THE DOMINANT
STEERING INFLUENCE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS RESTRICTED
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS SHOWN SIGNS
OF IMPROVEMENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH
OF THE STORM
...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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Thursday, August 30, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #001


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 30 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 31 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #005
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
NEWLY-FORMED FITOW (10W) RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OVER
THE FAR NORTHWEST PACIFIC...BECOMES THE SEVENTH
TYPHOON OF 2007
...MAY BECOME A THREAT TO SOUTHERN
JAPAN IN THE COMING DAYS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to resume tracking
Northerly within 12 hours and shall turn abruptly to the
NNW in response to a developing high pressure steering
ridge situated to the North of Fitow. The 2 to 5-day
forecast shows the system turning more Westerly or WNW
in the direction of Southern Japan - reaching Super
Typhoon status (Category 4 - 240 km/hr) on Tuesday early
morning, Sep 4

+ EFFECTS: FITOW's western rainbands continues to affect
the tiny island of Marcus. Increasing winds with rains
will continue to prevail over the island today. Coastal
Storm Surge flooding of 04 to 05 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
can be expected near and to the north of FITOW's projec-
ted path particularly along Marcus Island.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 30 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 23.8º N...LONGITUDE 156.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 300 KM (162
NM) ESE OF MARCUS ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 1,520 KM (820 NM) NE OF SAIPAN
DISTANCE 3: 1,575 KM (850 NM) ESE OF IWO TO
DISTANCE 4: 2,100 KM (1,135 NM) SE OF TOKYO
DISTANCE 5: 3,650 KM (1,970 NM) ENE OF LUZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNE @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 295 KM (160 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME THU AUGUST 30
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 AUGUST: 25.1N 156.6E / 150-185 KPH / NNW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 31 AUGUST: 26.4N 155.8E / 195-240 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 28.5N 152.6E / 215-260 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 30 AUGUST POSITION: 23.4N 156.9E.
^TYPHOON FITOW WILL TURN MORE POLEWARD IN THE FIRST 12-24
HOURS AS THE STORM REACHES THE EDGE OF THE NER. THE STORM
WILL THEN TURN WESTWARD AS IT IS PICKED UP AND STEERED BY
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ANCHORED EAST OF JAPAN. THE
OBJECTIVE AIDS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, HOWEVER,
EGRR PREDICTS THE WESTWARD TURN 24 HOURS EARLIER THAN THE
OTHER AIDS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE
CONSENSUS. TY FITOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATO-
LOGICAL RATE THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE STORM IS EX-
PECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER RATE AS THE TUTT CELL PRE-
VIOUSLY TO ITS NORTHEAST MOVES TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM,
SUPPRESSING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY THE PRESENCE OF
THE TUTT COULD ALLOW FOR INTRUSION OF MORE STABLE, SUBSIDENT
AIR...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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Monday, August 20, 2007

TS SEPAT (EGAY) - Final Update


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014 **FINAL**
Name: TROPICAL STORM SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 19 AUGUST 2007
Source: JMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
SEPAT (EGAY) DISSIPATING OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA...JUST A
TROPICAL STORM

*SINCE CONTINUED DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED
, THIS WILL BE THE 
FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT will 
dissipate overland within
the next 12 hours


+ EFFECTS: SEPAT's dissipating rainbands remains over
Southeastern China and the Western Coast of Taiwan and over
Taiwan Strait - winds and rains will continue to prevail
throughout the night. Flash floods and mudslides are
imminent along river banks, low-lying and mountainous
regions of the affected areas. Precautionary measures must
be initiated as the powerful system moves inland.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
weakening as SEPAT dissipates. Cloudy skies with light to
moderate & sometimes heavy rainfall & SW'ly winds of 20
km/hr or higher can be expected today along Northwestern
Luzon - becoming more frequent over Batanes Group, Ilocos
Provinces, La Union, Pangasinan & Zambales. Landslides and
flooding is likely along steep mountain slopes, river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 19 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 25.9º N...LONGITUDE 118.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 715 KM (385
NM) NW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 120 KM (65 NM) WSW OF FUZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 155 KM (83 NM) NORTH OF XIAMEN, CHINA 
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 110 KM/HR (60 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 994 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW SLOWLY
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHEASTERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 722 KM (390 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: .. FEET (... METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME SUN AUGUST 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 12 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 AUGUST: 27.4N 116.5E / 55-80 KPH / .. @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 AUGUST POSITION: 25.6N 118.3E.
^
...(more)

>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish 
   with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
   areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed 
   by:
Malaysia.

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT JMA TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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