Monday, December 14, 2015

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 008

 

Typhoon MELOR (NONA) Update Number 008

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 008
Issued at: 2:30 PM PhT (06:30 GMT) Monday 14 December 2015
Next Update: Monday Evening, 14 December 2015

The Eye of Typhoon MELOR (NONA) has made landfall over Laoang, Northern Samar at around 10:20 this morning. It is currently moving towards Sorsogon, endagering the area and other nearby provinces in Southern Luzon. The WeatherPhilippines Automated Weather Stations (AWS) in Catarman (Catarman Airport-Philippine Airlines) has recorded a Typhoon Force Wind Gusts of 170 kph from 1:00 PM to 1:20 PM today.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning today (Dec 14). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Visayas should closely monitor the development of TY MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Southernmost part of Quezon, Masbate, Romblon and Marinduque incl. Burias and Ticao Islands - Today through Tuesday Afternoon (Dec 15) .
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Rest of Bicol Region and Samar Provinces, Oriental Mindoro and rest of Southern Quezon - Today through Tuesday Afternoon (Dec 15).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Leyte, rest of Quezon, Northern Panay, Rizal, Laguna, Eastern Batangas and Occidental Mindoro - Today through Tuesday Afternoon (Dec 15).

WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Northern Samar and Eastern Sorsogon - Today (Dec 14).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): North Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Rest of Sorsogon, Albay, and Eastern Masbate incl. Ticao - Today until Tuesday (Dec 15).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of Samar, Rest of Bicol Region, Northern Leyte, and Southern Quezon - Today until Tuesdau (Dec 15).
STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Northern and Eastern Samar and Bicol Region - Today until Tuesday morning (Dec 15)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, December 14...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY MELOR (NONA)
Location: In the vicinity of Laoang, Northern Samar...(near 12.6N 125.1E)
About: 55 km east-northeast of Catarman, Northern Samar...or 166 km east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 195 kph near the center...Gustiness: 230 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 50 to 500 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 938 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 150 km from the center
Past Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 24 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 15 kph
Towards: Northern Samar-Sorsogon Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY MELOR (NONA) is expected to continue moving generally westward during the next 12 hours, turning slightly to the west-northwest with decreasing forward speed through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall cross Sorsogon late this afernoon and will be passing across Ticao-Burias Islands Area this evening and emerging over the Sibuyan Sea by early Tuesday morning (Dec 15). On Tuesday afternoon, MELOR (NONA) shall be making landfall anew over Oriental Mindoro, passing very near Calapan.

TY MELOR (NONA) is forecast to start to weaken after crossing Southern Bicol and will continue losing strength while traversing the Sibuyan Sea. It shall further weaken significantly upon making its second landfall over Northern Mindoro.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY MORNING: Starts losing strength while traversing the Sibuyan Sea...about 109 km east of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro [8AM DEC 15: 13.2N 122.2E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it crosses Northern Mindoro...emerging over the West Philippine Sea...about 173 km west of Puerto Galera, Oriental Mindoro [8AM DEC 16: 13.5N 119.3E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens into an area of Low Pressure...bends slowly to the west-southwest and southwest track...about 381 km west of Coron, Palawan [8AM DEC 17: 12.3N 116.7E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon Dec 14, 2015
Location of Center: Near 12.6º N Lat 125.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 105 km NW of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 148 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 127 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 4: 166 km ENE of Masbate City, Masbate
Distance 5: 234 km ESE of Metro Naga, CamSur
Distance 6: 491 km ESE of Metro Manila



Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 16:02 0 comments

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 007

 

Typhoon MELOR (NONA) Update Number 007

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued at: 8:40 AM PhT (00:40 GMT) Monday 14 December 2015
Next Update: Monday Afternoon, 14 December 2015

MELOR (NONA) is now approaching the eastern shores of Northern Samar...endangering the area and nearby provinces particularly Bicol Region. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Northern Samar today between 10:00 AM to 1:00 PM...with a Strike Probability of 80-90 percent.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning today (Dec 14). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Visayas should closely monitor the development of TY MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Southernmost part of Quezon, Northernmost part of Masbate and Marinduque incl. Burias and Ticao Islands - Beginning this morning through Tuesday morning (Dec 15) .
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Rest of Bicol Region and Samar Provinces, and rest of Masbate and Southern Quezon incl. Romblon Is. - Beginning this morning through Tuesday Morning (Dec 15).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Leyte, rest of Quezon and Romblon Provinces, Northern Panay, Rizal, Laguna, Eastern Batangas and Oriental Mindoro - Beginning this morning through Tuesday Afternoon (Dec 15).

WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Northern Samar and Eastern Sorsogon - Beginning Monday Noon (Dec 14).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): North Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Rest of Sorsogon, Albay, and Eastern Masbate incl. Ticao - Beginning this morning (Dec 14).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of Samar, Rest of Bicol Region, Northern Leyte, and Southern Quezon - Begining this morning (Dec 14).
STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Northern and Eastern Samar and Bicol Region - Beginning this morning until Tuesday morning (Dec 15)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, December 14...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY MELOR (NONA)
Location: Over the western south-central part of the Philippine Sea...(near 12.4N 126.4E)
About: 196 km east of Catarman, Northern Samar...or 303 km east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 195 kph near the center...Gustiness: 230 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 50 to 500 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 938 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 150 km from the center
Past Movement: West @ 20 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 18 kph
Towards: Northern Samar-Southern Bicol Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY MELOR (NONA) is expected to continue moving generally westward during the next 12 hours, and turning to the west-northwest with decreasing forward speed through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall make landfall across the shores of Northern Samar, very near Catarman today (Dec 14) between 10:00 AM to 1:00 PM...passing very close to Southern Sorsogon-Ticao Area late this evening and emerging over the Sibuyan Sea by early Tuesday morning (Dec 15). On Tuesday afternoon, MELOR (NONA) shall be making landfall anew over Oriental Mindoro, passing very near Calapan.

TY MELOR (NONA) is forecast to start weakening after it crosses the landmass of Northern Samar, Southern Bicol and Mindoro.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts losing strength after traversing Northern Samar...in the vicinity of Burias Island...about 93 km northwest of Masbate City, Masbate [2AM DEC 15: 12.9N 123.0E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it crosses Northern Mindoro...about 55 km west-northwest of Puerto Galera, Oriental Mindoro [2AM DEC 16: 13.6N 120.4E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea in a slow west-southwest track...about 255 km northwest of Coron, Palawan [2AM DEC 17: 12.9N 119.1E @ 55kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Dec 13, 2015
Location of Center: Near 12.4º N Lat 126.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 140 km NE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 273 km ESE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 282 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 4: 304 km E of Masbate City, Masbate
Distance 5: 371 km ESE of Metro Naga, CamSur
Distance 6: 629 km ESE of Metro Manila



Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 10:19 0 comments

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 006

 

Typhoon MELOR (NONA) Update Number 006

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued at: 2:30 AM PhT (18:30 GMT) Monday 14 December 2015
Next Update: Monday Mid-Morning, 14 December 2015

MELOR (NONA) still rapidly gaining strength as it moves closer to the east coast of Northern Samar...endangers Bicol Region and Samar Provinces. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Northern Samar this afternoon between 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM...with a Strike Probability of 80-90 percent.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning Monday (Dec 14). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Visayas should closely monitor the development of TY MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Albay, Sorsogon and Northern Samar - Beginning Monday morning through Tuesday morning (Dec 15) .
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Rest of Bicol Region and Rest of Samar Provinces - Beginning Monday Morning through Tuesday Morning (Dec 15).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Leyte, Marinduque, Romblon, Northern Panay and Southern Quezon - Beginning Monday Morning through Tuesday Morning (Dec 15).

WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Northern Samar and Eastern Sorsogon - Beginning Monday Noon (Dec 14).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): North Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Rest of Sorsogon, Albay, and Eastern Masbate incl. Ticao - Beginning Monday Afternoon (Dec 14).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of Samar, Rest of Bicol Region, Northern Leyte, and Southern Quezon - Begining Monday Afternoon (Dec 14).
STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Northern and Eastern Samar and Bicol Region - Beginning Monday Morning until Tuesday morning (Dec 15)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, December 13...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY MELOR (NONA)
Location: Over the south-central part of the Philippine Sea...(near 12.3N 127.5E)
About: 316 km east-southeast of Catarman, Northern Samar...or 422 km east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 50 to 500 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center
Past Movement: West @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 19 kph
Towards: Northern Samar-Southern Bicol Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY MELOR (NONA) is expected to continue moving westward during the next 24 hours, and turning back to the west-northwest through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall make landfall across the shores of Northern Samar, very near Catarman by Monday (Dec 14) between 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM...passing very close to Southern Sorsogon-Ticao Area Monday evening and emerging over the Sibuyan Sea, by early Tuesday morning (Dec 15). On Tuesday afternoon, MELOR (NONA) shall be making landfall anew over Oriental Mindoro, passing very near Calapan.

TY MELOR (NONA) is still forecast to intensify during the next 12 hours...and shall weaken considerably throughout the remainder of the forecast period as it crosses the landmass of Northern Samar, Southern Bicol and Mindoro.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY EVENING: Starts losing strength after traversing Northern Samar, in the vicinity of Ticao Island...about 39 km east-northeast of Masbate City, Masbate [8PM DEC 14: 12.6N 123.9E @ 205kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EVENING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it crosses Northern Mindoro...about 33 km south of Puerto Galera, Oriental Mindoro [8PM DEC 15: 13.2N 121.0E @ 110kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Weakens further as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea in a slow west-southwest track...about 156 km northwest of Coron, Palawan [8PM DEC 16: 12.9N 119.1E @ 75kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sun Dec 13, 2015
Location of Center: Near 12.3º N Lat 127.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 241 km ENE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 386 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 388 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 4: 424 km E of Masbate City, Masbate
Distance 5: 488 km ESE of Metro Naga, CamSur
Distance 6: 738 km SE of Metro Manila



Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 03:09 0 comments

Sunday, December 13, 2015

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 005

 

Typhoon MELOR (NONA) Update Number 005

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 005
Issued at: 7:45 PM PhT (11:45 GMT) Sunday 13 December 2015
Next Update: Monday Early Morning, 14 December 2015

Typhoon MELOR (NONA) rapidly intensifying with the appearance of a pin-hole eye...continues to endanger the Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Northern Samar on Monday (Dec 14) between 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM...with a Strike Probability of 80-90 percent.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning Monday (Dec 14). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Visayas should closely monitor the development of TY MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Albay, Sorsogon and Northern Samar - Beginning Monday morning through Tuesday morning (Dec 15) .
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Rest of Bicol Region and Rest of Samar Provinces - Beginning Monday Morning through Tuesday Morning (Dec 15).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Leyte, Marinduque, Romblon, Northern Panay and Southern Quezon - Beginning Monday Morning through Tuesday Morning (Dec 15).

WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Northern Samar and Eastern Sorsogon - Beginning Monday Noon (Dec 14).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): North Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Rest of Sorsogon, Albay, and Eastern Masbate incl. Ticao - Beginning Monday Afternoon (Dec 14).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of Samar, Rest of Bicol Region, Northern Leyte, and Southern Quezon - Begining Monday Afternoon (Dec 14).
STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Northern and Eastern Samar and Bicol Region - Beginning Monday Morning until Tuesday morning (Dec 15)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, December 13...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY MELOR (NONA)
Location: Over the south-central part of the Philippine Sea...(near 12.3N 128.5E)
About: 424 km east-southeast of Catarman, Northern Samar...or 528 km east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 50 to 500 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 130 km from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest to West @ 20 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 19 kph
Towards: Northern Samar-Southern Bicol Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY MELOR (NONA) is expected to bend to the west during the next 24 hours, and slightly turning back to the west-northwest through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall make landfall across the shores of Northern Samar by Monday (Dec 14) between 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM...passing very close to Southern Sorsogon-Ticao Area Monday evening and emerging over the Sibuyan Sea, very near Burias Island by early Tuesday morning (Dec 15). On Tuesday afternoon, MELOR (NONA) shall be making landfall anew over Oriental Mindoro, passing very near Calapan.

TY MELOR (NONA) is forecast to further intensify during the next 24 hours...and shall weaken considerably through the remainder of forecast period as it crosses the landmass of Northern Samar, Southern Bicol, and Mindoro.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Reaches its peak strength as it makes landfall along the shores of Northern Samar...about 16 km north-northeast of Catarman, Northern Samar [2PM DEC 14: 12.6N 124.7E @ 185kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it makes landfall anew over Oriental Mindoro...about 25 km southeast of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro [2PM DEC 15: 13.1N 121.3E @ 110kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea...about 127 km west-southwest of Lubang Island [2PM DEC 16: 13.4N 119.1E @ 75kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Dec 13, 2015
Location of Center: Near 12.3º N Lat 128.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 346 km ENE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 488 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 494 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 4: 532 km E of Masbate City, Masbate
Distance 5: 592 km SE of Metro Naga, CamSur
Distance 6: 850 km SE of Metro Manila



Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 21:16 0 comments

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 004

 

Typhoon MELOR (NONA) Update Number 004

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 004
Issued at: 1:45 PM PhT (05:45 GMT) Sunday 13 December 2015
Next Update: Sunday Evening, 13 December 2015

Tropical Storm MELOR (NONA) has intensified into a Typhoon...endangering the Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Northern Samar on Monday (Dec 14) between 11:00 AM to 1:00 PM...with a Strike Probability of 80-90 percent.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning Monday (Dec 14). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas should closely monitor the development of TY MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Eastern and Northern Samar, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Camarines Sur (Partido District) - Beginning tonight through Monday Evening (Dec 14).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Samar and Bicol Provinces - Beginning tonight through Monday Evening (Dec 14).

WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Northern Samar and Catanduanes - Begining Monday Morning (Dec 14).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph):Rest of Samar, Albay, Sorsogon - Beginning Monday Morning (Dec 14).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, December 13...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY MELOR (NONA)
Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea...(near 12.1N 129.6E)
About: 460 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 598 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 130 kph near the center...Gustiness: 160 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 50 to 500 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 75 km from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 21 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 19 kph
Towards: Northern Samar-Southern Bicol Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY MELOR (NONA) is expected to bend to the west during the next 24 hours, and slightly turning back to the west-northwest through the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall make landfall across the shores of Northern Samar by Monday (Dec 14) between 11:00 AM to 1:00 PM...passing very close to Masbate-Ticao Area Monday evening and emerging over the Sibuyan Sea by early Tuesday morning (Dec 15).

TY MELOR (NONA) is forecast to further intensify during the next 24 hours...and shall weaken consequently through the remainder of forecast period as it crosses the landmass of Northern Samar and Southern Bicol.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY MORNING: Continues to gain strength as it moves barely westward approaching the east coast of Northern Samar...about 131 km east of Catarman, Northern Samar [8AM DEC 14: 12.4N 125.9E @ 175kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY MORNING: Weakens after passing Northern Samar and Southern Bicol area...nearing the eastern shores of Oriental Mindoro...about 107 km southeast of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro [8AM DEC 15: 13.1N 121.8E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it continues to move west-northwestward but significantly decreases its forward speed...about 25 km south-southwest of Lubang Island [8AM DEC 16: 13.6N 120.1E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sun Dec 13, 2015
Location of Center: Near 12.1º N Lat 129.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 439 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 545 km ESE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 3: 616 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 4: 650 km ESE of Legazpi City, Albay
Distance 5: 713 km ESE of Metro Naga, CamSur



Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 15:37 0 comments

Tropical Storm MELOR (NONA) Update Number 003

 

Tropical Storm MELOR (NONA) Update Number 003

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 8:15 AM PhT (00:15 GMT) Sunday 13 December 2015
Next Update: Sunday Afternoon, 13 December 2015

Tropical Storm MELOR (NONA) continues to gain strength while moving across the central part of the Philippine Sea...now threatens the Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the shores of Northern Samar on Monday afternoon (Dec 14)...with a Strike Probability of 70-80 percent.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning Monday (Dec 14). Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas should closely monitor the development of TS MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Eastern and Northern Samar, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Camarines Sur (Partido District) - Beginning this afternoon through Monday afternoon (Dec 14).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Samar and Bicol Provinces - Beginning Tonight through Monday Evening (Dec 14).

WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Northern Samar and Catanduanes - Begining Monday Morning (Dec 14).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph):Rest of Samar, Albay, Sorsogon - Beginning Monday Morning (Dec 14).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, December 13...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS MELOR (NONA)
Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea...(near 11.7N 130.7E)
About: 577 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 726 km southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center...Gustiness: 130 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and northeast of the center): 50 to 500 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 55 km from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 20 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest to West @ 19 kph
Towards: Northern Samar-Southern Bicol Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS MELOR (NONA) is expected to continue moving west-northwest during the next 24 hours, bending more westerly throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall make landfall across the shores of Northern Samar by Monday afternoon (Dec 14)...passing very close to Masbate-Ticao Area Monday evening and emerging over the Sibuyan Sea by early Tuesday morning (Dec 15).

TS MELOR (NONA) is forecast to intensify into a Typhoon this afternoon and will continue gaining strength through the next 24 hours...maintaining its intensify throughout the outlook period.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a Typhoon as it moves barely westward approaching the east coast of Northern Samar...about 176 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2AM DEC 14: 12.3N 126.9E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the Sibuyan Sea as it traverses Northern Visayas...about 64 km west-northwest of Masbate, Masbate [2AM DEC 15: 12.6N 123.1E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it crosses Mindoro...about 40 km south-southwest of Puerto Galera, Oriental Mindoro [2AM DEC 16: 13.2N 120.7E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Dec 13, 2015
Location of Center: Near 11.7º N Lat 130.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 551 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 669 km ESE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 3: 752 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 4: 776 km ESE of Legazpi City, Albay
Distance 5: 841 km SE of Metro Naga, CamSur



Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 09:40 0 comments

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Tropical Storm MELOR (NONA) Update Number 002

 

Tropical Storm MELOR (NONA) Update Number 002


WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM MELOR (NONA) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday 12 December 2015
Next Update: Sunday Morning, 13 December 2015

Tropical Storm MELOR has further gained strength as it moves across the warm waters in the eastern part of the Philippine Sea. It may pose a serious threat to Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas early next week.

MELOR (NONA) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon beginning next week. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southern Luzon incl. Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas should closely monitor the development of TS MELOR (NONA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None for the next 36 hours.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, December 12...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS MELOR (NONA)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...(near 11.0N 133.0E)
About: 831 km east-southeast of Borongan City, Samar...or 988 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center...Gustiness: 120 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southeast of the center): 50 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): Near the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 21 kph
Towards: Bicol Region


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS MELOR (NONA) is expected to continue moving west-northwest throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, MELOR (NONA) shall traverse the eastern and central parts of the Philippine Sea through Monday afternoon (Dec 14).

TS MELOR (NONA) is forecast to intensify into a Typhoon on Sunday afternoon (Dec 13) and will continue gaining strength through 48 hours.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Typhoon as it moves WNW across the Eastern and Central parts of the Philippine Sea...about 436 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM DEC 13: 12.5N 129.3E @ 120kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Still intensifying as it slightly turns to the west across the Central through the Western part of the Philippine Sea...about 172 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM DEC 14: 13.1N 125.8E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly and bends further to the west...crossing the southern part of the Bicol Region...about 55 km west-southwest of Metro Naga [2PM DEC 15: 13.3N 122.8E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat Dec 12, 2015
Location of Center: Near 11.0º N Lat 133.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 797 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 929 km ESE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 3: 1038 km ESE of Legazpi City, Albay
Distance 4: 1001 km ESE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
Distance 5: 1100 km ESE of Metro Naga

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 20:33 0 comments

Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)