for Wednesday, 24 March 2010 [7:38 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W (Pre-AGATON).
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [PRE-AGATON]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 006
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 24 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Tropical Storm 02W (PRE-AGATON) slightly disorganized...its mid-level (rain cloud) circulation-center has been displaced ahead (or NW) of its low-level center...expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) today.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed Mar 24 2010
Location of Center: 10.9º N Lat 136.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km (140 nm) NW of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 130 km (70 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,170 km (630 nm) ESE of Samar
Distance 5: 1,330 km (718 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 120-180 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: West @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 320 km (170 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Wed Mar 24
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving NW-ward within the 24 hours, entering the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) around noontime and will track towards the Central Philippine Sea [2PM MAR 24: 11.8N 134.4E]. The 2 to 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows 02W turning to the North across the Central Philippine Sea, weakening into a Depression early Friday [2AM MAR 26: 16.3N 131.0E...about 770 km NE of Bicol Region]...and dissipating by early Saturday [2AM MAR 27: 16.9N 130.9E...about 895 km East of Northern Luzon] due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds, cooler SST). Majority of global forecast models agree on this scenario. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands remains over the ocean, no effects & hazards are in place. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 110 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 120 to 180 mm (moderate to heavy rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.8N 134.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / NW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 MARCH: 13.4N 132.2E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 26 MARCH: 16.3N 131.0E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / N @ 04 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W (Pre-AGATON)
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [PRE-AGATON]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 006
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 24 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed Mar 24 2010
Location of Center: 10.9º N Lat 136.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km (140 nm) NW of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 130 km (70 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,170 km (630 nm) ESE of Samar
Distance 5: 1,330 km (718 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 120-180 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: West @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 320 km (170 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Wed Mar 24
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving NW-ward within the 24 hours, entering the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) around noontime and will track towards the Central Philippine Sea [2PM MAR 24: 11.8N 134.4E]. The 2 to 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows 02W turning to the North across the Central Philippine Sea, weakening into a Depression early Friday [2AM MAR 26: 16.3N 131.0E...about 770 km NE of Bicol Region]...and dissipating by early Saturday [2AM MAR 27: 16.9N 130.9E...about 895 km East of Northern Luzon] due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds, cooler SST). Majority of global forecast models agree on this scenario. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands remains over the ocean, no effects & hazards are in place. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 110 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 120 to 180 mm (moderate to heavy rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.8N 134.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / NW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 MARCH: 13.4N 132.2E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 26 MARCH: 16.3N 131.0E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / N @ 04 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 MARCH: 16.9N 130.9E / 35-55 KPH (LPA) / N @ 04 KPH
REMARKS (for Meteorologists)
*ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 231640Z AMSU
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE CURRENT POSITION AND
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT UNFAVORABLE
EASTERLY FLOW. ACCORDINGLY, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED A
BIT AS THE SYSTEM IS NOT FORECAST TO INTENSIFY MUCH MORE AS IT
APPROACHES A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE CAUSED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH. ADDITIONALLY, BY TAU 48, TS 02W WILL START TO WEAKEN
SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSED BY THE MID-
LATITUDE WESTERLIES. BY TAU 72, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE
AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AND DRIFT ALONG WITH THE LOW-LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW. AFTER 48 HOURS, THIS FORECAST DEVIATES FROM THE JTWC
CONSENSUS AS A FEW OF THE TRACKERS, MOST NOTABLY THOSE OFFERED BY
THE NOGAPS AND GFS MODELS, INDICATE A DEEPER SYSTEM THAT WILL RE-
CURVE...(more)
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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