Wednesday, September 17, 2008

TS SINLAKU (MARCE) - Update #014


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014
Name: TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU [MARCE/15W/0813] 
Issued: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) WED 17 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #035
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU (MARCE) CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST IN THE
DIRECTION OF KYUSHU, JAPAN...RAINBANDS REMAINS DISPLACED EAST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).


+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to turn NE for the next 2 days and
shall cross southern Kyushu by late Thursday evening or early Friday mor-
ning. The system is forecast to lose its tropical characteristics,
becoming an Extratropical Cyclone Thursday night approaches the SW Coast
of Kyushu and cross the southern portions of Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu
on Friday until Saturday afternoon.

+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU remains under increasing Vertical Wind Shear (VWS)
(upper-level winds) as its thick convection remains displaced east of the
low-level circulation center (LLCC). The storm's sheared rainbands will
continue to affect Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands. Cloudy skies w/ moderate to
heavy squalls with winds not exceeding 60 km/hr can be expected along its
rainbands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 & up to 200 mm can be ex-
pected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must
remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods
& landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this
system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: 
The strong Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA/1007
MB) over the Mid-Western Pacific Ocean has been growing in size with its
possible Low-Level Circulation Center (LLCC) hard to locate..continues
to drift Westward slowly...relocated near lat 17.0N lon 144.0E...about
410 km NNW of Guam...packing sustained winds of 35 km/hr. This system
will be closely monitored for possible development into Tropical Cyclone
in the coming hours or days. For more details click this new, cool
T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis showing the disturbance.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) WED 17 SEP 2008 
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.7º N...LONGITUDE 126.1º
DISTANCE 1: 230 KM (125
NM) NW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 375 KM (202 NM) WSW OF NAJE ISLAND, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 615 (332 NM) SW OF KAGOSHIMA, KYUSHU, JAPAN
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN KYUSHU, JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME WED SEP 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD  
LIVE RADAR: CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU, TAIWAN

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 127.0E / 95-120 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 29.6N 128.1E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 19 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 32.3N 132.0E / 95-120 KPH / ENE @ 28 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 35.1N 138.4E / 85-100 KPH / ENE @ 39 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.5N 125.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) SINLAKU (15W) HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MODERATE WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS. HOWEVER, RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER
LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS
INCREASED ON BOTH THE POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD SIDES OF THE
TROPICAL STORM. THIS INCREASE IN OUTFLOW HAS FUELED RENEWED
DEEP CONVECTION OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRC-
ULATION CENTER (LLCC). MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
162117Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOW THAT THIS LLCC REMAINS QUITE VIGOROUS
DESPITE THE RECENT WEAKENING TREND
...
(more)

>> SINLAKU {pronounced: seen~la~ku}, meaning: Kosrae legendary goddess
   
Name contributed by: Micronesia.

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGOUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
      signals, visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SINLAKU (MARCE)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
Yahoo! Groups

Wellness Spot

A resource for Curves

and weight loss.

Special K Group

on Yahoo! Groups

Join the challenge

and lose weight.

All-Bran

10 Day Challenge

Join the club and

feel the benefits.

.

__,_._,___

No comments: