Tuesday, August 05, 2008

TS KAMMURI (JULIAN) strengthens...[Update #004]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI [JULIAN/10W/0809] 
Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) TUE 05 AUGUST 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 006
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM JULIAN (10W) IS NOW INTERNATIONALLY KNOWN AS KAMMURI
...STRENGTHENS AS IT CONTINUES ON ITS WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK TOWARDS
WESTERN GUANGDONG...SOUTHWEST MONSOON RAINS
CONTINUES TO SPREAD
ACROSS WESTERN LUZON INCLUDING METRO MANILA AND
SUBIC BAY.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KAMMURI is expected to continue heading WNW for the
next 24 hours towards the Coast of Western Guangdong, and shall make
landfall along Western Guangdong tomorrow night - about more or less
100 km. West of Hong Kong. Complete dissipation of this cyclone is
forecast on the afternoon of Aug 8 while moving WNW across the
Chinese Province of Guangxi.  

+ EFFECTS: KAMMURI's large circulation continues to cover much of the
South China Sea, with its inner-spiral rain bands spreading across the
Southern Coastal areas of Guangdong, Hong Kong & Macau. Widespread rains
and winds not in excess of 75 km/hr can be expected along the affected
areas. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher grounds for possi-
ble flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought
about by this disturbance. Precautionary measures must be initiated
if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be
enhanced by TS KAMMURI. This wind system is currently bringing cloudy
skies with "on-&-off" to sometimes continuous moderate to heavy rains &
winds not exceeding 50 km/hr across the Rest of Luzon, becoming more
intense across Western Luzon including Metro Manila & Subic Bay. Land-
slides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep
mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of
the affected areas. Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting the
whole Philippines. It will continue to bring widespread scattered
rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 05 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 20.4º N...LONGITUDE 115.2º
DISTANCE 1: 235 KM (127
NM) SSE OF HONG KONG, CHINA 
DISTANCE 2: 260 KM (140 NM) SE OF MACAU, CHINA 
DISTANCE 3: 500 KM (270 NM) ESE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 615 KM (332 NM) NW OF LAOAG CITY, PH  
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG, CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 15 FEET (4.5 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME TUE AUGUST 05
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE.

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 20.8N 114.5E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 21.5N 113.4E / 95-120 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 22.7N 110.2E / 55-75 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 23.1N 107.4E / 35-55 KPH / -- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 05 AUGUST POSITION: 20.3N 115.5E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) KAMMURI 10W HAS MOVED GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL
EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. INTENSIFICATION HAS HELD
STEADY WITH CONVECTION SLOW TO CENTRALIZE AROUND THE LLCC. A TROPICAL
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL LOCATED TO THE EAST HAS CONTINUED
TO EVACUATE MASS POLEWARD, WHILE BROAD-SCALE NORTHEASTERLY DIFFLUENT
FLOW HAS PROVIDED EQUATORWARD EXHAUST. FLARING CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER HAS MADE POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM VERY DIFFICULT.
..
(more)

>> KAMMURI {pronounced: ka~moo~ree}, meaning: Corona Borealis; crown
   
Name contributed by: Japan.

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________


RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS KAMMURI (JULIAN/10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
Real Food Group

on Yahoo! Groups

What does real food

mean to you?

Cat Fanatics

on Yahoo! Groups

Find people who are

crazy about cats.

Y! Groups blog

The place to go

to stay informed

on Groups news!

.

__,_._,___

No comments: