Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIAN [10W]
Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) MON 04 AUGUST 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIAN (10W) NEARS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT
EXITS THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR) ON A FAST WEST-SOUTH
WEST MOVEMENT...THREATENS SOUTHERN CHINA. ENHANCED SOUTHWEST MONSOON
CONTINUES TO BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ACROSS WESTERN LUZON INCLU-
DING METRO MANILA AND SUBIC BAY.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: JULIAN is expected to become a Tropical Storm later
tonight while heading westward for the next 12 hours across the northern
DING METRO MANILA AND SUBIC BAY.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: JULIAN is expected to become a Tropical Storm later
tonight while heading westward for the next 12 hours across the northern
part of the South China Sea. The 2 to 3-day medium range shows it becoming
a 110-km/hr storm while turning WNW in the direction of Western Guangdong,
China. It shall make landfall along Western Guangdong, more or less 200
km. West of Hong Kong on Wednesday afternoon, Aug 6 w/ complete dissipa-
tion the following day (Aug 7) - while moving WNW across the Chinese
Province of Guangxi.
+ EFFECTS: JULIAN's large circulation continues to cover much of the South
+ EFFECTS: JULIAN's large circulation continues to cover much of the South
China Sea, with its outer-spiral rain bands spreading across the Southern
Coastal areas of Eastern Guangdong in Southern China, Taiwan and the Phi-
lippine provinces of Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur, and Batanes. Widespread
rains and winds not in excess of 60 km/hr can be expected along the affec-
ted areas. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher grounds for po-
ssible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought
about by this disturbance. Precautionary measures must be initiated if
enhanced by TD JULIAN. This wind system is currently bringing cloudy skies
with "on-&-off" to sometimes continuous moderate to heavy rains & winds not
exceeding 50 km/hr across the Rest of Luzon, becoming more intense across
Western Luzon including Metro Manila & Subic Bay. Landslides, mudflows
(lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano
slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting the whole Philippines. It
will continue to bring widespread scattered rains and thunderstorms -
most especially in the afternoon or evening.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance 99W (LPA/1004mb)
located over the South China Sea has been absorbed and merged into the
large circulation of JULIAN.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance 99W (LPA/1004mb)
located over the South China Sea has been absorbed and merged into the
large circulation of JULIAN.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 04 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 117.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 350 KM (188 NM) NW OF LAOAG CITY, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 117.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 350 KM (188 NM) NW OF LAOAG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 410 KM (220 NM) WNW OF CALAYAN IS., PH
DISTANCE 3: 470 KM (255 NM) WSW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 4: 455 KM (245 NM) SE OF HONG KONG, CHINA
DISTANCE 5: 505 KM (272 NM) SE OF MACAU, CHINA
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): --- KM (--- NM)/N/A
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME MON AUGUST 04
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): --- KM (--- NM)/N/A
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME MON AUGUST 04
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - ILOCOS NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, & LA UNION.
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 19.8N 116.1E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 20.2N 114.4E / 95-120 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 21.9N 111.4E / 110-140 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.2N 109.4E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 04 AUGUST POSITION: 19.5N 118.1E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) JULIAN (10W) HAS CONSOLIDATED QUICKLY OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT HAS TRACKED AWAY FROM NORTHERN LUZON. ANI-
MATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING FORMING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WRAPPING INTO THE
EASTERN QUADRANT AND PERSISTENT BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-
CIRCLE. OVERALL, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
BECOME WELL-DEFINED WITH A 032121Z SSMIS 37 GHZ IMAGE DEPICTING
A CONVECTIVE RING AND BANDING CLEARLY WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER.
TD 10W HAS ACCELERATED WESTWARD WITHIN LOW-LEVEL ENHANCED EAS-
TERLY FLOW BETWEEN RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND A LARGE LOW PRESSURE
AREA IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA (CURRENTLY 99W)...(more)
_____________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART :
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.2N 109.4E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 04 AUGUST POSITION: 19.5N 118.1E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) JULIAN (10W) HAS CONSOLIDATED QUICKLY OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT HAS TRACKED AWAY FROM NORTHERN LUZON. ANI-
MATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING FORMING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WRAPPING INTO THE
EASTERN QUADRANT AND PERSISTENT BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-
CIRCLE. OVERALL, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
BECOME WELL-DEFINED WITH A 032121Z SSMIS 37 GHZ IMAGE DEPICTING
A CONVECTIVE RING AND BANDING CLEARLY WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER.
TD 10W HAS ACCELERATED WESTWARD WITHIN LOW-LEVEL ENHANCED EAS-
TERLY FLOW BETWEEN RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND A LARGE LOW PRESSURE
AREA IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA (CURRENTLY 99W)...(more)
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 04 AUGUST: 19.6N 117.9E / W @ 15 KPH / 75 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD JULIAN (10W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TD JULIAN (10W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch format to Traditional
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
.
__,_._,___
No comments:
Post a Comment