Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS KHANUN [ENTENG]

for Wednesday, 18 July 2012 [5:08 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday July 16 2012):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12 Midnight) on KHANUN (ENTENG).

KHANUN MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KHANUN (ENTENG) UPDATE NUMBER 010
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Thu 19 July 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #014/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012)

Tropical Storm KHANUN (ENTENG) has made landfall over South Korea...weakening rapidly overland...expected to reach North Korea later today.

Residents and visitors along the Korean Peninsula should closely monitor the progress on Khanun (Enteng).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu July 19 2012
Location of Center: 36.0� N Lat 127.0� E Lon
Distance 1: 178 km South of Seoul, S.Korea
Distance 2: 215 km NW of Busan, S.Korea
Distance 3: 353 km SSE of Pyongyang, N.Korea
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 31 kph (17 kts)
Towards: North Korea
NOAA 24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 100 mm (High)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Size (in Diameter): 390 km (210 nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Thu Jul 19

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

KHANUN (ENTENG) is expected to continue moving NE for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of KHANUN will pass close to Seoul this morning and over North Korea in the afternoon. By early Friday morning, KHANUN will be off the east coast of North Korea.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 75 km/hr (40 knots) with higher gusts. KHANUN will continue losing strength within the next 12 to 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 km/hr) extend outward up to 110 kilometers (60 nautical miles) from the center. KHANUN is a average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 390 kilometers (210 nautical miles).

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Rapidly dissipating over the east coast of North Korea...no longer a Tropical Cyclone [2AM JUL 20: 39.9N 126.7E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across South Korea. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across the rest of the Korean Peninsula. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 51 to 100 mm (medium to high) along areas near the center of Khanun (Enteng). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH

Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) continues to consolidate while over the Philippine Sea. Various dynamic computer models continue to show the development into a Tropical Depression within the next 1 to 2 days. Its center was located about 673 km East of Casiguran, Aurora or 634 km NE of Naga City (16.3N 128.4E)...with maximum sustained winds of 30 kph and was moving West @ 15 kph towards Extreme Northern Luzon. The 24-hour TC Formation Potential remains at MEDIUM (30-50% Chance).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TS KHANUN (ENTENG)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0812.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 Day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: Khanun's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KHANUN (ENTENG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm