for Sunday, 02 November 2014 [8:56 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON NURI (PAENG) UPDATE NUMBER 004
Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Sunday 02 November 2014
Next Update: Monday Morning, 03 November 2014
Typhoon NURI (PAENG) approaching Super Typhoon status as it rapidly gained strength during the past 12 hours...starting to make a recurvature while moving northward across the North Philippine Sea.
Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the development of Nuri (Paeng).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY Nuri (Paeng)
Location: Over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 16.8N 132.6E)
About: 1,085 km east of Palanan, Isabela...or 1,120 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 215 kph near the center...Gustiness: 260 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,035 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 100 km from the Center
Past Movement: North @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 13 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Nuri (Paeng) is expected to make a recurvature within the next few hours...moving north-northeast within the next 24 hours...and maintaining this path through the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, TY Nuri (Paeng) will be moving over the eastern part of the North Philippine Sea and exiting the northeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) through Tuesday afternoon.
TY Nuri (Paeng) will continue to gain strength within the next 24 hours...becoming a Super Typhoon later tonight or early Monday morning. Between 36 to 48 hours, Nuri will start to weaken as it moves across slightly cooler seas. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 240 kph by Monday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Super Typhoon as it recurves north-northeastward across the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea...about 1,200 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM NOV 03: 19.2N 133.3E @ 240kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Starts to weaken as it moves out of the PAR...about 890 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan [2PM NOV 04: 22.9N 135.7E @ 220kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Starts to decay as it moves out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 975 km east of Okinawa, Japan [2PM NOV 05: 26.7N 137.6E @ 195kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Nov 02, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 16.8º N Lat 132.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 960 km NE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1035 km NE of Legazpi City
Distance 3: 1070 km NE of Metro Naga
Distance 4: 1120 km ESE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1190 km SE of Basco, Batanes
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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