for Saturday, 01 November 2014 [7:25 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM NURI (PAENG) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday 01 November 2014
Next Update: Sunday Morning, 02 November 2014
Tropical Storm NURI (PAENG) intensifying rapidly while turning northwest slowly across the Philippine Sea...not a threat to the country.
Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the development of Nuri (Paeng).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Nuri (Paeng)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 13.6N 133.4E)
About: 895 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 985 km east of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center...Gustiness: 120 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 970 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 45 km from the Center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest @ 16 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Nuri (Paeng) is expected to turn more north-northwesterly within the next 24 hours...recurving towards the north to north-northeast through the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, TS Nuri (Paeng) will be moving across the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea through Monday afternoon.
TS Nuri (Paeng) will continue to intensify throughout the forecast period, as the storm passes over very warm sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) (>28 degrees Celsius). It could become a Typhoon later tonight or early Sunday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 195 kph by Monday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Category 2 Typhoon as it turns north-northwest across the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 1,035 km east of Casiguran, Aurora [2PM NOV 02: 16.2N 131.8E @ 160kph].
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Category 3 Typhoon as it recurves north-northeastward...about 1,065 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan [2PM NOV 03: 18.5N 132.3E @ 195kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Reaches its peak intensity while moving northeastward across the eastern part of the North Philippine Sea...about 1,270 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM NOV 04: 21.4N 134.2E @ 205kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat Nov 01, 2014
Location of Center: Near 13.6º N Lat 133.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 960 km ENE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 2: 1030 km ENE of Sorsogon City
Distance 3: 1050 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 4: 1100 km E of Metro Naga
Distance 5: 1250 km ESE of Casiguran, Aurora
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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