for Sunday, 02 November 2014 [7:17 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON NURI (PAENG) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 6:55 AM PhT (22:55 GMT) Sunday 02 November 2014
Next Update: Sunday Evening, 02 November 2014
NURI (PAENG) strengthened rapidly into a Typhoon as it moves north-northwest towards the North Philippine Sea. This typhoon is not a threat to the Philippine Islands.
Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the development of Nuri (Paeng).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY Nuri (Paeng)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.2N 132.8E)
About: 945 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,150 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 967 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,025 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 85 km from the Center
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 17 kph
Forecast Movement: North @ 14 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Nuri (Paeng) is expected to turn more northerly within the next 24 hours...recurving towards the north-northeast and northeast through the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, TY Nuri (Paeng) will be moving over the eastern part of the North Philippine Sea through early Tuesday morning.
TY Nuri (Paeng) will continue to gain strength throughout the forecast period, as the cyclone passes over very warm sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) (>28 degrees Celsius). Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 215 kph by early Tuesday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Category 3 Typhoon as it turns north across the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 1,050 km east-southeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan [2AM NOV 03: 17.8N 132.1E @ 205kph].
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further (Category 4) as it recurves northeastward across the North Philippine Sea...about 1,260 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM NOV 04: 20.8N 134.1E @ 215kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts to decay as it moves out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 1,270 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM NOV 05: 23.4N 135.3E @ 195kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Nov 02, 2014
Location of Center: Near 15.2º N Lat 132.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 990 km ENE of Sorsogon City
Distance 2: 1005 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 3: 1050 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 4: 1130 km ESE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 5: 1185 km SE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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