for Monday, 03 November 2014 [10:29 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
SUPER TYPHOON NURI (PAENG) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Monday 03 November 2014
Next Update: Tuesday Morning, 04 November 2014
Super Typhoon NURI (PAENG) has maintained its strength while moving slowly northeastward away from the Philippines.
This howler matches the strength of Super Typhoon VONGFONG (OMPONG) which also passed over the North Philippine Sea barely a month ago.
Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the development of Nuri (Paeng).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
None.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: STY Nuri (Paeng)
Location: Over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 19.4N 133.3E)
About: 1,170 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan...or 1,185 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 270 kph near the center...Gustiness: 320 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 350 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 810 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 155 km from the Center
Past Movement: Northeast @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 15 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
STY Nuri (Paeng) is expected to move generally north-northeastward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, STY Nuri (Paeng) will be moving over the eastern part of the North Philippine Sea and exiting the northeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Tuesday evening.
STY Nuri (Paeng) will still gain strength within the next 6 to 12 hours, then between 18 to 24 hours, Nuri will start to weaken as it moves over slightly cooler seas and unfavorable atmospheric environment. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 285 kph by early Tuesday morning...and decreasing to 215 kph by Wednesday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Loses strength after intensifying for awhile as it moves north-northeastward across the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea...about 1,295 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM NOV 04: 21.8N 134.4E @ 270kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to lose strength as it moves toward the seas south of Japan...about 840 km east-southeast of Okinawa, Japan [2PM NOV 05: 25.3N 136.1E @ 215kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Category 3 Typhoon as it moves across the northern part of the Western Pacific Ocean...about 540 km south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan [2PM NOV 06: 30.9N 138.8E @ 160kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon Nov 03, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 19.4º N Lat 133.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 1160 km NE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 970 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 3: 1180 km ENE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 4: 1240 km ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 5: 1310 km ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on STY NURI (PAENG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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