WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (CRISING) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Thursday 21 Feb 2013
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday 21 Feb 2013
Tropical Depression 02W (Crising) now passing the Southern tip of Palawan...very near the town of Balabac. Its scattered rainbands continues to spread across the Spratly Islands and Southern Palawan.
This depression will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) and bring cloudy skies w/ 15-50 km/hr winds across Northern Visayas and Luzon including Metro Manila...becoming occasionally slight to moderate rains along the regions of Cagayan, Eastern Luzon, MIMAROPA, CALABARZON, and Bicol.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 12 noon today, the center of Tropical Depression 02W (Crising) was located near the Southern tip of Palawan...about 11 km southeast of Balabac, Palawan or 105 km SSW of Bataraza, Palawan...currently moving west with a forward speed of 17 km/hr in the general direction of the West Philippine Sea and Spratly Islands.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remains at 45 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of 02W (Crising) is estimated to be heavy (250 mm).
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD 02W (Crising) is expected to continue moving west to west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of 02W (Crising) will be passing near the Spratly Islands this afternoon and tonight, and will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early Friday morning...and could be just along the open waters of the South China Sea on Friday afternoon.
02W (Crising) is forecast to maintain its strength during the next 24 hours and will dissipate into an area of low pressure on Friday.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
FRIDAY NOON: Moving across the South China Sea, exits the PAR...about 379 km northwest of Brunei [12PM FEB 22: 7.0N 112.2E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
RAINBANDS - spreading across Southwestern Philippines and West Philippine Sea. Affected Areas: Southern Palawan & Spratly Islands. Tropical Disturbance Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (05-55 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 250 mm (heavy) along areas to the north and near the center of 02W (Crising).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Thu February 21, 2013
Class/Name: TD 02W (Crising)
Location of Center: 7.9º N Lat 117.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 11 km SE of Balabac, Palawan
Distance 2: 105 km SSW of Bataraza, Palawan
Distance 3: 126 km SSW of Brooke's Point, Palawan
Distance 4: 226 km SSW of Puerto Princesa
Distance 5: 470 km SSE of Pagasa Is., Spratlys
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph
Present Movement: West @ 17 kph
Towards: West Philippine Sea-Spratlys
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [250 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 02W (CRISING)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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